Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 40.19%. A win for Stuttgart had a probability of 38.57% and a draw had a probability of 21.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.06%) and 3-1 (4.9%). The likeliest Stuttgart win was 1-2 (8.03%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.