Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Werder Bremen win with a probability of 39.67%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 35.08% and a draw had a probability of 25.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Werder Bremen win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.56%) and 2-0 (6.36%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 1-2 (8.19%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.