Serie A Gameweek 2
Aug 31, 2026 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Gewiss Stadium
  • Nikola Krstović 73' yellowcard
  • Lazar Samardžić 90'+6' goal
  • yellowcard Domenico Tedesco 58'

Atalanta BC vs Bologna - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Atalanta BC

All competitions
Last game
Aug 23, 2026 7.45pm
Atalanta 2 - 1 Sassuolo
Goals scored
3
Top scorer
Giacomo Raspadori

Bologna

All competitions
Last game
Aug 24, 2026 5.30pm
Bologna 0 - 1 Lazio

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 51.94%. A draw had a probability of 24.57% and a win for Bologna had a probability of 23.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Atalanta BC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10%) and 2-0 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.47%) , while for a Bologna win it was 0-1 (6.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.

Result

Atalanta BC 51.94% ▼ (-0.09)
Draw 24.57% ▲ (+0.04)
Bologna 23.49% ▲ (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.79% ▲ (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.02% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 24.98% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 51.11% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 48.89% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 29.13% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 3.5 70.87% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 4.5 16.5% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 4.5 83.5% ▼ (-0.05)

First Half Winner

Atalanta BC 38.7% ▼ (-0.03)
Draw 43.62% ▲ (+0.03)
Bologna 17.68%

Team To Score First

Atalanta BC 61.57%
No Goal 7.02% ▼ (-0.04)
Bologna 31.41% ▲ (+0.04)

Corners

Over 8 48.43% ▲ (+0.04)
Equal 8 12.08%
Under 8 39.48% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 9 36.99% ▲ (+0.04)
Equal 9 11.44%
Under 9 51.57% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 10.5 27.02% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 10.5 72.98% ▼ (-0.02)

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 1.5 48.59%
Under 1.5 51.41%
Over 2.5 22.7% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 2.5 77.3% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 8.41% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 91.59% ▼ (-0.04)

Bologna Goals

Over 0.5 59.54% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 0.5 40.46% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 1.5 25.97% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 1.5 74.03% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 2.5 8.34% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 2.5 91.66% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 3.5 2.26% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 97.74% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Atalanta BC 51.94%
Draw 24.57%
Bologna 23.5%
Atalanta BC
1-0 @ 11.23% ▼ (-0.02)
2-1 @ 10% ▼ (-0.03)
2-0 @ 8.95% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 5.36% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.88% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.13% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 8.39% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 51.94%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.47%
0-0 @ 7.02% ▼ (-0.04)
2-2 @ 5.14% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.02% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 24.57%
Bologna
0-1 @ 6.74% ▼ (-0.01)
1-2 @ 5.88%
0-2 @ 3.48%
1-3 @ 2.14% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.8% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.22% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 23.5%

Head to Head

Serie A
May 17, 2026 5.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Gewiss Stadium
  • Mario Pašalić 63' yellowcard
  • Yunus Musah 63' yellowcard
  • Yunus Musah 64' yellowcard
  • Kamaldeen Sulemana 64' yellowcard
  • Mitchel Bakker 82' yellowcard
  • Sead Kolasinac 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Thijs Dallinga 69'
  • yellowcard Nikola Moro 69'
  • yellowcard Riccardo Orsolini 69'
  • yellowcard Riccardo Orsolini 70'
  • goal Riccardo Orsolini 78'
  • yellowcard Benja Domínguez 88'
  • yellowcard Benja Domínguez 89'
Serie A Gameweek 19
Jan 7, 2026 5.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Serie A Gameweek 32
Apr 13, 2025 11.30am
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Gewiss Stadium
  • Mateo Retegui 3' goal
  • Isak Hien 7' yellowcard
  • Mario Pasalic 21' goal
  • Davide Zappacosta 34' yellowcard
  • Mateo Retegui 60' yellowcard
  • Rafael Toloi 66' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Juan Miranda 90'+3'
Coppa Italia
Feb 4, 2025 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Gewiss Stadium
  • Marten de Roon 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Emil Holm 67'
  • goal Santiago Castro 80'
  • yellowcard Dan Ndoye 90'+2'
Serie A Gameweek 6
Sep 28, 2024 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
  • Remo Freuler 1' yellowcard
  • Giovanni Fabbian 35' yellowcard
  • Santiago Castro 46' goal
  • Jhon Lucumi 50' redcard
  • Lukasz Skorupski 79' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Raoul Bellanova 29'
  • yellowcard Kossonou Odilon 33'
  • yellowcard Ederson 73'
  • goal Lazar Samardzic 90'
Serie A Gameweek 27
Mar 3, 2024 5.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Gewiss Stadium
  • Teun Koopmeiners 14' yellowcard
  • Ademola Lookman 28' goal
  • Emil Holm 64' yellowcard
  • Ederson 69' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Stefan Posch 6'
  • goal Joshua Zirkzee 57'
  • goal Lewis Ferguson 61'
  • yellowcard Jens Odgaard 90'+4'