Serie A Gameweek 38
May 23, 2026 5.00pm
Stadio Renato Dall'Ara

Bologna vs Inter Milan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Bologna

All competitions
Last game
May 17, 2026 5.00pm
Atalanta 0 - 1 Bologna
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Riccardo Orsolini

Inter Milan

All competitions
Last game
May 17, 2026 2.00pm
Inter Milan 1 - 1 Hellas Verona
Goals scored
86
Top scorer
Lautaro Martinez

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Inter Milan win with a probability of 54.56%. A draw has a probability of 25.39% and a win for Bologna has a probability of 20.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win is 0-1 with a probability of 13.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (10.46%) and 1-2 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.41%) , while for a Bologna win it is 1-0 (6.85%).

Result

Bologna 20.04% (-0.06)
Draw 25.39%
Inter Milan 54.56% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.16% (-0.03)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.45% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 28.55% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 46.29% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 53.71% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 25.37% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 74.63% (+0.01)
Over 4.5 13.88% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 86.12% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Bologna 19.29% (-0.04)
Draw 41.63% (-0.03)
Inter Milan 39.08% (+0.08)

Team To Score First

Bologna 32.04% (-0.06)
No Goal 8.53% (+0.01)
Inter Milan 59.43% (+0.04)

Corners

Over 8 52.27%
Equal 8 11.98%
Under 8 35.75%
Over 9 40.58%
Equal 9 11.69%
Under 9 47.73%
Over 10.5 30.1%
Under 10.5 69.9%

Bologna Goals

Over 1.5 21.15% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 78.85% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 5.98% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 94.02% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 1.42% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 98.58% (+0.02)

Inter Milan Goals

Over 0.5 79.31% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 20.69% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 48.06% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 51.94% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 22.17% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 77.83% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 8.03% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 91.97% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Bologna 20.06%
Draw 25.39%
Inter Milan 54.56%
Bologna
1-0 @ 6.85%
2-1 @ 4.97% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 3.29%
3-1 @ 1.69% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 1.23%
Other @ 1.26%
Total : 20.06%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.41%
0-0 @ 8.53% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.42%
Other @ 0.16% (-0.02)
Total : 25.39%
Inter Milan
0-1 @ 13.18% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 10.46% (+0.03)
1-2 @ 9.78%
0-3 @ 5.4% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 5.38% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.49%
Other @ 7.87%
Total : 54.56%

Head to Head

Serie A Gameweek 18
Jan 4, 2026 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
  • Piotr Zieliński 39' goal
  • Lautaro Martínez 48' goal
  • Petar Sučić 68' yellowcard
  • Henrikh Mkhitaryan 68' yellowcard
  • Marcus Thuram 74' goal
  • Carlos Augusto 76' yellowcard
  • Pio Esposito 76' yellowcard
  • Matteo Lavelli 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Martin Vitík 46'
  • yellowcard Tommaso Pobega 46'
  • yellowcard Nadir Zortea 68'
  • yellowcard Riccardo Orsolini 68'
  • yellowcard Remo Freuler 79'
  • goal Santiago Castro 83'
Supercoppa Italiana
Dec 19, 2025 7.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
ET
  • Riccardo Orsolini 35' goal
  • goal Marcus Thuram 2'
Serie A Gameweek 33
Apr 20, 2025 5.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
  • Vincenzo Italiano 56' redcard
  • Dan Ndoye 58' yellowcard
  • Riccardo Orsolini 90'+4' goal
  • Riccardo Orsolini 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Henrikh Mkhitaryan 39'
  • yellowcard Alessandro Bastoni 61'
  • yellowcard Joaquin Correa 81'
Serie A Gameweek 19
Jan 15, 2025 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 2 1
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
  • Denzel Dumfries 19' goal
  • Lautaro Martinez 45'+1' goal
  • Simone Inzaghi 73' yellowcard
  • goal Santiago Castro 15'
  • goal Emil Holm 64'
Serie A Gameweek 28
Mar 9, 2024 5.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
  • Joshua Zirkzee 25' yellowcard
  • Remo Freuler 47' yellowcard
  • goal Yann Aurel Bisseck 37'
  • yellowcard Davy Klaassen 81'
Coppa Italia
Dec 20, 2023 8.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
ET Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
  • Carlos Augusto 92' goal
  • Yann Aurel Bisseck 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Matteo Darmian 100' yellowcard
  • Benjamin Pavard 103' yellowcard
  • Nicolo Barella 109' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Charalampos Lykogiannis 41'
  • yellowcard Sydney van Hooijdonk 58'
  • yellowcard Giovanni Fabbian 88'
  • goal Sam Beukema 112'
  • goal Dan Ndoye 116'