Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 55.37%. A draw had a probability of 23.46% and a win for Bologna had a probability of 21.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.19%) and 2-0 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.3%) , while for a Bologna win it was 0-1 (5.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.