Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Como win with a probability of 39.09%. A win for Napoli had a probability of 33.24% and a draw had a probability of 27.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Como win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.78%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest Napoli win was 0-1 (8.64%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.