Serie A Gameweek 4
Sep 12, 2026 7.45pm
Gewiss Stadium

Atalanta BC vs Cagliari - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Atalanta BC

All competitions
Last game
Sep 5, 2026 7.45pm
Roma 2 - 1 Atalanta
Goals scored
4
Top scorer
Giacomo Raspadori

Cagliari

All competitions
Last game
Sep 7, 2026 5.30pm
Cagliari 1 - 0 Lecce
Goals scored
2
Top scorer
Alessandro Romano

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 57.82%. A draw has a probability of 25.13% and a win for Cagliari has a probability of 17.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Atalanta BC win is 1-0 with a probability of 14.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (11.26%) and 2-1 (10%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.54%) , while for a Cagliari win it is 0-1 (6.35%).

Result

Atalanta BC 57.82% (-0.11)
Draw 25.13% (+0.01)
Cagliari 17.06% (+0.10)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.76% (+0.13)

Goals

Over 1.5 70.51% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 29.49% (-0.07)
Over 2.5 45.19% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 54.81% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 23.87% (+0.07)
Under 3.5 76.13% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 13.56% (+0.05)
Under 4.5 86.44% (-0.05)

First Half Winner

Atalanta BC 39.1% (-0.08)
Draw 45.21% (+0.11)
Cagliari 15.7% (-0.04)

Team To Score First

Atalanta BC 65.38% (+0.04)
No Goal 8.76% (-0.01)
Cagliari 25.86% (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 52.26% (+0.08)
Equal 8 12.51% (+0.02)
Under 8 35.23% (-0.10)
Over 9 40.04% (+0.05)
Equal 9 12.22% (+0.03)
Under 9 47.74% (-0.08)
Over 10.5 29.14% (+0.02)
Under 10.5 70.86% (-0.02)

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 1.5 49.33%
Under 1.5 50.67%
Over 2.5 22.9%
Under 2.5 77.1%
Over 3.5 8.73% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 91.27% (-0.02)

Cagliari Goals

Over 0.5 50.7% (+0.14)
Under 0.5 49.3% (-0.14)
Over 1.5 17.76% (+0.12)
Under 1.5 82.24% (-0.11)
Over 2.5 4.54% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 95.46% (-0.06)
Over 3.5 0.98% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 99.02% (-0.03)

Score analysis

Atalanta BC 57.82%
Draw 25.13%
Cagliari 17.05%
Atalanta BC
1-0 @ 14.38% (-0.06)
2-0 @ 11.26% (-0.03)
2-1 @ 10% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 6.25% (-0.04)
3-1 @ 5.05% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.23% (+0.01)
Other @ 8.65%
Total : 57.82%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.54% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 8.76% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.11% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.08% (+0.01)
Total : 25.13%
Cagliari
0-1 @ 6.35% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 4.36% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 2.52% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 1.15% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.06% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.9% (+0.02)
Total : 17.05%

Head to Head

Serie A Gameweek 34
Apr 27, 2026 5.30pm
3
2
HT : 2 2
FT Sardegna Arena
  • Paul Mendy 1' goal
  • Paul Mendy 8' goal
  • Gennaro Borrelli 46' yellowcard
  • Gennaro Borrelli 47' goal
  • Ibrahim Sulemana 56' yellowcard
  • Marco Palestra 56' yellowcard
  • 56' yellowcard
  • Ibrahim Sulemana 57' yellowcard
  • Alberto Dossena 72' yellowcard
  • Andrea Belotti 77' yellowcard
  • Andrea Belotti 78' yellowcard
  • 78' yellowcard
  • goal Gianluca Scamacca 40'
  • goal Gianluca Scamacca 45'
  • yellowcard Nicola Zalewski 56'
  • yellowcard Nikola Krstović 56'
  • yellowcard Nicola Zalewski 57'
  • yellowcard Nikola Krstović 57'
  • yellowcard 57'
  • yellowcard Éderson 73'
  • yellowcard Odilon Kossounou 73'
  • yellowcard Odilon Kossounou 74'
  • yellowcard Lazar Samardžić 77'
  • yellowcard 77'
Serie A European Under-21s Championship
Dec 13, 2025 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Gianluca Scamacca 11' goal
  • Lorenzo Bernasconi 33' yellowcard
  • Gianluca Scamacca 81' goal
  • yellowcard Juan Rodriguez 57'
  • goal Gianluca Gaetano 75'
  • yellowcard Gianluca Gaetano 76'
Serie A Gameweek 25
Feb 15, 2025 2.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Gewiss Stadium
  • Isak Hien 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Florinel Coman 90'+5'
Serie A Gameweek 16
Dec 14, 2024 2.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Sardegna Arena
  • Sebastiano Luperto 43' yellowcard
  • Tommaso Augello 52' yellowcard
  • Adam Obert 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Marten de Roon 49'
  • goal Nicolo Zaniolo 66'
  • yellowcard Nicolo Zaniolo 66'
  • yellowcard Lazar Samardzic 90'+1'
Serie A Gameweek 31
Apr 7, 2024 5.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Sardegna Arena
  • Tommaso Augello 42' goal
  • Alessandro Deiola 66' yellowcard
  • Rafael Toloi 73' yellowcard
  • Nahitan Nandez 75' yellowcard
  • Nicolas Viola 88' goal
  • goal Gianluca Scamacca 13'
  • yellowcard Marten de Roon 54'
  • yellowcard Davide Zappacosta 63'
  • yellowcard Zito Luvumbo 74'
Serie A Gameweek 5
Sep 24, 2023 2.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Gewiss Stadium
  • Ademola Lookman 33' goal
  • Berat Djimsiti 54' yellowcard
  • Mario Pasalic 76' goal
  • yellowcard Alessandro Deiola 32'
  • yellowcard Zito Luvumbo 42'