Serie A Gameweek 4
Sep 12, 2026 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Gewiss Stadium
  • Gianluca Scamacca 41' goal
  • goal Paul Mendy 19'
  • goal Daniel Maldini 61'

Atalanta BC vs Cagliari - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Atalanta BC

All competitions
Last game
Sep 5, 2026 7.45pm
Roma 2 - 1 Atalanta
Goals scored
5
Top scorer
Giacomo Raspadori

Cagliari

All competitions
Last game
Sep 7, 2026 5.30pm
Cagliari 1 - 0 Lecce
Goals scored
4
Top scorer
Daniel Maldini

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 57.82%. A draw had a probability of 25.13% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 17.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Atalanta BC win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.25%) and 2-1 (9.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.54%) , while for a Cagliari win it was 0-1 (6.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.

Result

Atalanta BC 57.82%
Draw 25.13%
Cagliari 17.05% ▼ (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.72% ▼ (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 70.43% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 1.5 29.57% ▲ (+0.09)
Over 2.5 45.16% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 54.84% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 23.82% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 3.5 76.18% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 4.5 13.51% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 4.5 86.49% ▲ (+0.05)

First Half Winner

Atalanta BC 39.06% ▼ (-0.04)
Draw 45.25% ▲ (+0.04)
Cagliari 15.69% ▼ (-0.01)

Team To Score First

Atalanta BC 65.38%
No Goal 8.77% ▲ (+0.01)
Cagliari 25.85% ▼ (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 52.23% ▼ (-0.04)
Equal 8 12.5% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 8 35.26% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 9 40.02% ▼ (-0.02)
Equal 9 12.21% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 9 47.77% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 10.5 29.13% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 10.5 70.87% ▲ (+0.02)

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 1.5 49.26% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 1.5 50.74% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 2.5 22.86% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 77.14% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 3.5 8.69% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 3.5 91.31% ▲ (+0.05)

Cagliari Goals

Over 0.5 50.65% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 0.5 49.35% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 1.5 17.72% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 1.5 82.28% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 2.5 4.53% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 2.5 95.47% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 0.97% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 99.03% ▲ (+0.02)

Score analysis

Atalanta BC 57.81%
Draw 25.12%
Cagliari 17.04%
Atalanta BC
1-0 @ 14.42% ▲ (+0.04)
2-0 @ 11.25% ▼ (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.99% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 6.26% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.05%
3-2 @ 2.22% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 8.62% ▼ (-0.04)
Total : 57.81%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.54%
0-0 @ 8.77% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.1% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.07% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 25.12%
Cagliari
0-1 @ 6.35%
1-2 @ 4.36%
0-2 @ 2.51% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 1.15%
2-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 17.04%

Head to Head

Serie A Gameweek 34
Apr 27, 2026 5.30pm
3
2
HT : 2 2
FT Sardegna Arena
  • Paul Mendy 1' goal
  • Paul Mendy 8' goal
  • Gennaro Borrelli 46' yellowcard
  • Gennaro Borrelli 47' goal
  • Ibrahim Sulemana 56' yellowcard
  • Marco Palestra 56' yellowcard
  • 56' yellowcard
  • Ibrahim Sulemana 57' yellowcard
  • Alberto Dossena 72' yellowcard
  • Andrea Belotti 77' yellowcard
  • Andrea Belotti 78' yellowcard
  • 78' yellowcard
  • goal Gianluca Scamacca 40'
  • goal Gianluca Scamacca 45'
  • yellowcard Nicola Zalewski 56'
  • yellowcard Nikola Krstović 56'
  • yellowcard Nicola Zalewski 57'
  • yellowcard Nikola Krstović 57'
  • yellowcard 57'
  • yellowcard Éderson 73'
  • yellowcard Odilon Kossounou 73'
  • yellowcard Odilon Kossounou 74'
  • yellowcard Lazar Samardžić 77'
  • yellowcard 77'
Serie A European Under-21s Championship
Dec 13, 2025 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Gianluca Scamacca 11' goal
  • Lorenzo Bernasconi 33' yellowcard
  • Gianluca Scamacca 81' goal
  • yellowcard Juan Rodriguez 57'
  • goal Gianluca Gaetano 75'
  • yellowcard Gianluca Gaetano 76'
Serie A Gameweek 25
Feb 15, 2025 2.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Gewiss Stadium
  • Isak Hien 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Florinel Coman 90'+5'
Serie A Gameweek 16
Dec 14, 2024 2.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Sardegna Arena
  • Sebastiano Luperto 43' yellowcard
  • Tommaso Augello 52' yellowcard
  • Adam Obert 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Marten de Roon 49'
  • goal Nicolo Zaniolo 66'
  • yellowcard Nicolo Zaniolo 66'
  • yellowcard Lazar Samardzic 90'+1'
Serie A Gameweek 31
Apr 7, 2024 5.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Sardegna Arena
  • Tommaso Augello 42' goal
  • Alessandro Deiola 66' yellowcard
  • Rafael Toloi 73' yellowcard
  • Nahitan Nandez 75' yellowcard
  • Nicolas Viola 88' goal
  • goal Gianluca Scamacca 13'
  • yellowcard Marten de Roon 54'
  • yellowcard Davide Zappacosta 63'
  • yellowcard Zito Luvumbo 74'
Serie A Gameweek 5
Sep 24, 2023 2.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Gewiss Stadium
  • Ademola Lookman 33' goal
  • Berat Djimsiti 54' yellowcard
  • Mario Pasalic 76' goal
  • yellowcard Alessandro Deiola 32'
  • yellowcard Zito Luvumbo 42'