Serie A Gameweek 1
Aug 22, 2026 7.45pm
Stadio Ennio Tardini

Parma vs Cagliari - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Parma

All competitions
Last game
May 24, 2026 2.00pm
Parma 1 - 0 Sassuolo

Cagliari

All competitions
Last game
May 24, 2026 7.45pm
AC Milan 1 - 2 Cagliari

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Parma win with a probability of 41.41%. A win for Cagliari has a probability of 29.3% and a draw has a probability of 29.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Parma win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.56%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest Cagliari win is 0-1 (9.67%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.21%).

Result

Parma 41.41% (-0.06)
Draw 29.29% (+0.02)
Cagliari 29.3% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

48% (+0.03)

Goals

Over 1.5 67.91% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 32.09% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 42.07% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 57.93% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 21.61% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 78.39% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 10.92% (-0.03)
Under 4.5 89.08% (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Parma 30.38% (-0.04)
Draw 49.93%
Cagliari 19.69% (+0.04)

Team To Score First

Parma 52.96% (+0.04)
No Goal 10.2% (-0.02)
Cagliari 36.84% (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 49.15% (+0.04)
Equal 8 12.46% (-0.02)
Under 8 38.39% (-0.02)
Over 9 37.28% (+0.06)
Equal 9 11.87% (-0.02)
Under 9 50.85% (-0.04)
Over 10.5 26.92% (+0.06)
Under 10.5 73.08% (-0.05)

Parma Goals

Over 1.5 36.67% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 63.33% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 13.88% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 86.12% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 4.31% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 95.69% (+0.01)

Cagliari Goals

Over 0.5 62.39% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 37.61% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 27.47% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 72.53% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 8.9%
Under 2.5 91.1%
Over 3.5 2.41%
Under 3.5 97.59%

Score analysis

Parma 41.4%
Draw 29.29%
Cagliari 29.31%
Parma
1-0 @ 12.22% (-0.03)
2-1 @ 8.56%
2-0 @ 7.68% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.48% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 3.35% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.95% (-0.02)
Other @ 4.16% (-0.01)
Total : 41.4%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.21% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 10.2% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 4.94% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 29.29%
Cagliari
0-1 @ 9.67% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 6.73% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 4.95% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.27%
0-3 @ 1.82% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.61% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 29.31%

Head to Head

Serie A Gameweek 27
Feb 27, 2026 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Ennio Tardini
  • Gaetano Oristanio 46' yellowcard
  • Hans Nicolussi Caviglia 46' yellowcard
  • Nahuel Estévez 75' yellowcard
  • Gaetano Oristanio 83' goal
  • Franco Carboni 89' yellowcard
  • Benja Cremaschi 89' yellowcard
  • Benja Cremaschi 90' yellowcard
  • Franco Carboni 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Michael Folorunsho 61'
  • goal Michael Folorunsho 62'
  • yellowcard Riyad Idrissi 87'
  • yellowcard Leonardo Pavoletti 87'
  • yellowcard Leonardo Pavoletti 88'
Serie A European Under-21s Championship
Sep 13, 2025 2.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Serie A Gameweek 24
Feb 9, 2025 2.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Sardegna Arena
  • Alessandro Vogliacco 57' goal
  • Florinel Coman 70' goal
  • yellowcard Drissa Camara 55'
  • goal Giovanni Leoni 78'
  • yellowcard Hernani 90'+1'
Serie A Gameweek 6
Sep 30, 2024 7.45pm
2
3
HT : 0 2
FT Stadio Ennio Tardini
  • Adrian Bernabe 25' yellowcard
  • Woyo Coulibaly 48' yellowcard
  • Dennis Man 62' goal
  • Hernani 87' goal
  • Anas Haj Mohamed 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Yerry Mina 7'
  • goal Nadir Zortea 34'
  • yellowcard Adam Obert 53'
  • goal Razvan Marin 75'
  • goal Roberto Piccoli 87'
  • yellowcard Roberto Piccoli 90'
Serie B
Jun 3, 2023 7.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Serie B
May 30, 2023 7.30pm
3
2
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Zito Luvumbo 68' goal
  • Gianluca Lapadula 85' goal
  • Zito Luvumbo 89' goal
  • goal Adrian Benedyczak 10'
  • goal Simon Sohm 26'