Club Friendlies 3
Aug 2, 2026 1.00pm
Stadion An der Alten Försterei

Union Berlin vs Cagliari - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Union Berlin

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 18, 2026 3.00pm
Aarau 2 - 1 Union Berlin

Cagliari

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 28, 2026 4.00pm
Cagliari 1 - 0 Modena

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Union Berlin win with a probability of 44.18%. A win for Cagliari has a probability of 28.3% and a draw has a probability of 27.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.09%) and 2-0 (7.7%). The likeliest Cagliari win is 0-1 (8.27%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.67%).

Result

Union Berlin 44.18% (+0.08)
Draw 27.46% (-0.08)
Cagliari 28.3% (-0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.68% (+0.07)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.29% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 27.71% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 47.39% (+0.07)
Under 2.5 52.61% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 26.77% (+0.10)
Under 3.5 73.23% (-0.10)
Over 4.5 14.37% (+0.09)
Under 4.5 85.63% (-0.08)

First Half Winner

Union Berlin 31.93% (+0.06)
Draw 45.57% (-0.12)
Cagliari 22.5% (+0.06)

Team To Score First

Union Berlin 54.79% (-0.04)
No Goal 7.91% (-0.02)
Cagliari 37.3% (+0.06)

Corners

Over 8 55.27% (+0.07)
Equal 8 11.88% (+0.02)
Under 8 32.84% (-0.07)
Over 9 43.4% (+0.05)
Equal 9 11.88% (+0.03)
Under 9 44.73% (-0.07)
Over 10.5 32.53% (+0.04)
Under 10.5 67.47% (-0.04)

Union Berlin Goals

Over 1.5 41.69% (+0.11)
Under 1.5 58.31% (-0.11)
Over 2.5 17.13% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 82.87% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 5.94% (+0.06)
Under 3.5 94.06% (-0.05)

Cagliari Goals

Over 0.5 63.69% (-0.07)
Under 0.5 36.31% (+0.07)
Over 1.5 29.44%
Under 1.5 70.56%
Over 2.5 10.03%
Under 2.5 89.97%
Over 3.5 2.83% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 97.17% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Union Berlin 44.18%
Draw 27.47%
Cagliari 28.3%
Union Berlin
1-0 @ 11.48% (-0.02)
2-1 @ 9.09%
2-0 @ 7.7% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 4.22% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 3.35% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.52% (+0.03)
Other @ 5.82% (+0.06)
Total : 44.18%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.67% (-0.06)
0-0 @ 7.91% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.67% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.1%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 27.47%
Cagliari
0-1 @ 8.27% (-0.04)
1-2 @ 6.69% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 4.53%
1-3 @ 2.51%
2-3 @ 2.1%
0-3 @ 1.49% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.71% (+0.01)
Total : 28.3%