Club Friendlies 3
Jul 18, 2026 3.00pm
Stadion Brügglifeld

FC Aarau vs Union Berlin - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Aarau

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 10, 2026 4.00pm
Austria Lustenau 1 - 0 Aarau

Union Berlin

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 17, 2026 6.00pm
Winterthur 1 - 1 Union Berlin

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a FC Aarau win with a probability of 53.24%. A win for Union Berlin has a probability of 24.01% and a draw has a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Aarau win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.47%) and 2-0 (7.71%). The likeliest Union Berlin win is 1-2 (5.79%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.19%).

Result

FC Aarau 53.24% (-0.04)
Draw 22.8% (+0.04)
Union Berlin 24.01% (+0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.13% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.31%
Under 1.5 18.69%
Over 2.5 60.21% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 39.79% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 39.06% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 60.94% (-0.03)
Over 4.5 25.08% (-0.03)
Under 4.5 74.92% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

FC Aarau 39.14% (+0.03)
Draw 38.29% (-0.08)
Union Berlin 22.57% (+0.06)

Team To Score First

FC Aarau 58% (-0.01)
No Goal 4.95% (+0.01)
Union Berlin 37.05%

Corners

Over 8 66.82% (-0.13)
Equal 8 10.51% (+0.02)
Under 8 22.67% (+0.11)
Over 9 55.28% (-0.13)
Equal 9 11.54% (+0.01)
Under 9 33.18% (+0.12)
Over 10.5 43.72% (-0.13)
Under 10.5 56.28% (+0.13)

FC Aarau Goals

Over 1.5 54.87% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 45.13% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 29.52% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 70.48% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 13.01% (-0.06)
Under 3.5 86.99% (+0.05)

Union Berlin Goals

Over 0.5 61.59% (+0.09)
Under 0.5 38.41% (-0.09)
Over 1.5 30.6% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 69.4% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 11.7% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 88.3% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 3.83% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 96.17% (-0.02)

Score analysis

FC Aarau 53.23%
Draw 22.8%
Union Berlin 24%
FC Aarau
2-1 @ 9.54% (-0.02)
1-0 @ 8.47% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 7.71% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.96%
3-0 @ 4.53% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 4.24% (+0.01)
Other @ 12.78% (-0.06)
Total : 53.23%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.19% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.65% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 4.95% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.78%
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 22.8%
Union Berlin
1-2 @ 5.79%
0-1 @ 5.3% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 3.22% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.45% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.36% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.28% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.6% (+0.02)
Total : 24%