Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Aarau win with a probability of 53.92%. A win for Grasshopper Zurich had a probability of 24.18% and a draw had a probability of 21.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Aarau win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.73%) and 0-2 (7.57%). The likeliest Grasshopper Zurich win was 2-1 (5.85%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.