Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luzern win with a probability of 47.76%. A win for Grasshopper Zurich had a probability of 29.56% and a draw had a probability of 22.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luzern win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.01%) and 0-2 (6.35%). The likeliest Grasshopper Zurich win was 2-1 (6.87%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 9% likelihood.