Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 55.79%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Grasshopper Zurich had a probability of 20.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.83%) and 2-0 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.77%) , while for a Grasshopper Zurich win it was 0-1 (6.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.