Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lugano win with a probability of 53.19%. A draw had a probability of 23.99% and a win for Grasshopper Zurich had a probability of 22.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lugano win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.43%) and 0-2 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.95%) , while for a Grasshopper Zurich win it was 1-0 (6.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.