Swiss Super League Gameweek 21
Jan 24, 2026 5.00pm
Stadio di Cornaredo

Lugano vs FC Winterthur - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Lugano

All competitions
Swiss Super League
Last game
Jan 17, 2026 5.00pm
Luzern 2 - 5 Lugano
Goals scored
32
Top scorer
Uran Bislimi

FC Winterthur

All competitions
Swiss Super League
Last game
Jan 17, 2026 5.00pm
Winterthur 0 - 0 St Gallen
Goals scored
23
Top scorer
Andrin Hunziker

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Lugano win with a probability of 54.36%. A draw has a probability of 23.21% and a win for FC Winterthur has a probability of 22.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lugano win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.44%) and 2-0 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.6%) , while for a FC Winterthur win it is 0-1 (6.07%).

Result

Lugano 54.36% (+0.07)
Draw 23.21% (+0.11)
FC Winterthur 22.43% (-0.18)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.5% (-0.22)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.25% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 22.75% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 54.42% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 45.58% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 33.51% (-0.24)
Under 3.5 66.49% (+0.23)
Over 4.5 20.19% (-0.14)
Under 4.5 79.81% (+0.15)

First Half Winner

Lugano 39.63% (+0.04)
Draw 36.93% (-0.11)
FC Winterthur 23.44% (+0.08)

Team To Score First

Lugano 55.71% (+0.10)
No Goal 5.95% (+0.04)
FC Winterthur 38.34% (-0.12)

Corners

Over 8 59.63% (-0.42)
Equal 8 11.03%
Under 8 29.35% (+0.43)
Over 9 48.23% (-0.39)
Equal 9 11.4% (-0.04)
Under 9 40.37% (+0.42)
Over 10.5 37.4% (-0.32)
Under 10.5 62.6% (+0.32)

Lugano Goals

Over 1.5 52.2% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 47.8% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 26.53%
Under 2.5 73.47%
Over 3.5 11.35% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 88.65% (+0.04)

FC Winterthur Goals

Over 0.5 58.25% (-0.19)
Under 0.5 41.75% (+0.19)
Over 1.5 26.25% (-0.15)
Under 1.5 73.75% (+0.15)
Over 2.5 8.89%
Under 2.5 91.11%
Over 3.5 2.68% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 97.32% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Lugano 54.36%
Draw 23.2%
FC Winterthur 22.43%
Lugano
1-0 @ 10.72% (+0.03)
2-1 @ 9.44% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 8.96% (+0.12)
3-1 @ 5.89% (-0.07)
3-0 @ 4.9% (+0.11)
3-2 @ 3.24% (-0.04)
Other @ 11.21% (-0.06)
Total : 54.36%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.6% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 5.95% (+0.04)
2-2 @ 5.36%
3-3 @ 1.15% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.14% (+0.04)
Total : 23.2%
FC Winterthur
0-1 @ 6.07%
1-2 @ 5.48% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 3.28% (-0.10)
1-3 @ 2.07% (-0.04)
2-3 @ 1.91% (-0.06)
0-3 @ 1.08% (+0.08)
Other @ 2.54% (-0.05)
Total : 22.43%

Head to Head

Swiss Super League
Oct 5, 2025 3.30pm
2
4
HT : 0 0
FT
Swiss Super League Gameweek 28
Mar 16, 2025 3.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio di Cornaredo
  • Georgios Koutsias 50' goal
  • Georgios Koutsias 56' goal
  • yellowcard Alexandre Jankewitz 66'
  • yellowcard Silvan Sidler 72'
  • goal Loic Luthi 85'
Swiss Super League Gameweek 20
Jan 25, 2025 7.30pm
2
3
HT : 2 0
FT Stadion Schutzenwiese
  • Antoine Baroan 6' goal
  • Antoine Baroan 35' goal
  • Luca Zuffi 58' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Antonios Papadopoulos 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Uran Bislimi 49'
  • goal Yanis Cimignani 52'
  • goal Yanis Cimignani 63'
  • goal Georgios Koutsias 90'+3'
Swiss Super League Gameweek 8
Sep 29, 2024 3.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio di Cornaredo
  • Mattia Croci-Torti 0' yellowcard
  • Antonios Papadopoulos 72' yellowcard
  • Renato Steffen 73' goal
  • Renato Steffen 82' goal
  • yellowcard Granit Lekaj 56'
  • goal Labinot Bajrami 58'
  • yellowcard Adrian Durrer 86'
  • redcard Granit Lekaj 89'
Swiss Super League Gameweek 36
May 16, 2024 7.30pm
4
2
HT : 1 1
FT Stadio di Cornaredo
  • Jonathan Sabbatini 43' goal
  • Uran Bislimi 49' goal
  • Renato Steffen 67' goal
  • Zan Celar 89' goal
  • goal Aldin Turkes 27'
  • goal Nishan Burkart 87'
Swiss Super League Gameweek 31
Apr 6, 2024 5.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT Stadion Schutzenwiese
  • Randy Schneider 63' goal
  • Remo Arnold 82' yellowcard
  • Aldin Turkes 84' goal
  • goal Yanis Cimignani 48'
  • yellowcard Anto Grgic 58'
  • goal Jhon Espinoza 83'
  • yellowcard Albian Hajdari 87'