Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lugano win with a probability of 43.84%. A win for Lausanne Sport had a probability of 29.77% and a draw had a probability of 26.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lugano win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (7.32%). The likeliest Lausanne Sport win was 0-1 (7.56%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.