Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Thun win with a probability of 41.52%. A win for Lausanne Sport had a probability of 34.12% and a draw had a probability of 24.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Thun win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.33%) and 2-0 (5.63%). The likeliest Lausanne Sport win was 1-2 (7.76%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%).