Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Thun win with a probability of 43.99%. A win for FC Zurich had a probability of 32.94% and a draw had a probability of 23.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Thun win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.86%) and 2-0 (6%). The likeliest FC Zurich win was 1-2 (7.61%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.21%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.

Result
Thun	Draw	FC Zurich
43.99% ( 0.12)	23.07% ( -0.03)	32.94% ( -0.09)

Both teams to score 63.98% (

0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.81% (

0.11)

37.18% (

-0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.61% (

0.12)

59.39% (

-0.12)

Thun Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.62% (

0.09)

17.38% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.2% (

0.16)

47.79% (

-0.16)

FC Zurich Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.44% (

0.01)

22.56% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.85% (

0.01)

56.15% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Thun 43.99%

FC Zurich 32.94%

Draw 23.06%

Thun	Draw	FC Zurich
2-1 @ 8.94% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 6.86% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 6% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.21% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.88% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.5% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.28% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.7% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.53% ( 0.01) Other @ 4.09% Total : 43.99%	1-1 @ 10.21% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.66% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 3.92% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.93% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.35% Total : 23.06%	1-2 @ 7.61% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 5.84% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 4.35% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.78% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.3% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.41% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.23% ( 0) Other @ 3.28% Total : 32.94%