Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Thun win with a probability of 43.99%. A win for FC Zurich had a probability of 32.94% and a draw had a probability of 23.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Thun win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.86%) and 2-0 (6%). The likeliest FC Zurich win was 1-2 (7.61%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.21%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.