Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lausanne Sport win with a probability of 41.55%. A win for Servette had a probability of 33.6% and a draw had a probability of 24.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lausanne Sport win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.6%) and 2-0 (5.85%). The likeliest Servette win was 0-1 (7.94%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.