Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Lugano win with a probability of 39.71%. A win for Basel has a probability of 36.68% and a draw has a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lugano win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (7.48%) and 0-2 (5.81%). The likeliest Basel win is 2-1 (8.42%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.91%).