Swiss Super League Gameweek 25
Feb 15, 2026 3.30pm
St. Jakob-Park

Basel vs Lugano - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Basel

All competitions
Swiss Super League
Last game
Feb 12, 2026 7.30pm
Sion 2 - 0 Basel
Goals scored
28
Top scorer
Xherdan Shaqiri

Lugano

All competitions
Swiss Super League
Last game
Feb 11, 2026 7.30pm
Lugano 0 - 0 Servette
Goals scored
32
Top scorer
Uran Bislimi

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Lugano win with a probability of 39.71%. A win for Basel has a probability of 36.68% and a draw has a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lugano win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (7.48%) and 0-2 (5.81%). The likeliest Basel win is 2-1 (8.42%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.91%).

Result

Basel 36.68% (-0.05)
Draw 23.6% (+0.02)
Lugano 39.71% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.41% (-0.07)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.52% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 19.48% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 58.4% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 41.6% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 35.98% (-0.07)
Under 3.5 64.02% (+0.06)
Over 4.5 21.12% (-0.04)
Under 4.5 78.88% (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Basel 30.82% (+0.08)
Draw 38.53% (-0.15)
Lugano 30.64% (+0.07)

Team To Score First

Basel 47.45% (+0.06)
No Goal 4.78% (+0.05)
Lugano 47.77% (-0.09)

Corners

Over 8 56.21% (-0.01)
Equal 8 11.76% (-0.01)
Under 8 32.03% (+0.03)
Over 9 44.36% (-0.01)
Equal 9 11.84% (-0.01)
Under 9 43.79% (+0.01)
Over 10.5 33.44% (+0.01)
Under 10.5 66.56% (-0.01)

Basel Goals

Over 1.5 40.98% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 59.02% (+0.05)
Over 2.5 17.23% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 82.77% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 6.13% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 93.87% (+0.02)

Lugano Goals

Over 0.5 74.06%
Under 0.5 25.94%
Over 1.5 43.26% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 56.74% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 19.47% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 80.53% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 7%
Under 3.5 93%

Score analysis

Basel 36.69%
Draw 23.6%
Lugano 39.72%
Basel
2-1 @ 8.42% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 7.23% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 5.38%
3-1 @ 3.99% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 3.11%
3-0 @ 2.58% (+0.02)
Other @ 5.98% (-0.01)
Total : 36.69%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.91% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 6.34%
0-0 @ 4.78% (+0.05)
3-3 @ 1.42% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 23.6%
Lugano
1-2 @ 8.53% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 7.48% (+0.04)
0-2 @ 5.81% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 4.53% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 3.61% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 2.91% (+0.02)
Other @ 6.85%
Total : 39.72%

Head to Head

Swiss Super League
Nov 9, 2025 1.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Swiss Super League
Aug 10, 2025 3.30pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Swiss Super League Gameweek 35
May 10, 2025 7.30pm
2
5
HT : 1 1
FT Stadio di Cornaredo
  • Uran Bislimi 2' goal
  • Renato Steffen 59' yellowcard
  • Zachary Brault-Guillard 64' yellowcard
  • Anto Grgic 69' goal
  • Mattia Zanotti 75' yellowcard
  • goal Albian Ajeti 4'
  • yellowcard Albian Ajeti 33'
  • redcard Albian Ajeti 42'
  • goal Xherdan Shaqiri 48'
  • goal Xherdan Shaqiri 51'
  • goal Xherdan Shaqiri 57'
  • goal Leo Leroy 60'
Swiss Super League Gameweek 31
Apr 6, 2025 3.30pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT St. Jakob-Park (Basel)
  • Xherdan Shaqiri 12' yellowcard
  • Albian Ajeti 33' yellowcard
  • Metinho 39' yellowcard
  • Xherdan Shaqiri 63' goal
  • Marin Soticek 82' goal
  • yellowcard Lars Lukas Mai 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Uran Bislimi 87'
Swiss Super League Gameweek 19
Jan 19, 2025 3.30pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Stadio di Cornaredo
  • Anto Grgic 45'+2' goal
  • Albian Hajdari 54' goal
  • Renato Steffen 57' yellowcard
  • Zachary Brault-Guillard 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Kevin Carlos 24'
  • yellowcard Joe Mendes 28'
  • yellowcard Leo Leroy 36'
  • yellowcard Dominik Schmid 42'
  • yellowcard Moussa Cisse 74'
  • goal Xherdan Shaqiri 87'
Swiss Super League Gameweek 2
Jul 27, 2024 7.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Leichtathletik-Stadion St. Jakob
  • Leo Leroy 50' goal
  • Leo Leroy 59' yellowcard
  • goal Ignacio Aliseda 8'
  • yellowcard Albian Hajdari 53'
  • goal Kacper Przybylko 69'