/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F46%2Fbaslog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F46%2Fluglog.png)
-
Bénie Traoré
30'
-
Xherdan Shaqiri
62'
-
Giacomo Koloto
66'
-
Marin Soticek
66'
-
Keigo Tsunemoto
66'
-
Moussa Cissé
88'
-
Julien Duranville
88'
-
Georgios Koutsias
15'
-
João Carbone
46'
-
Hicham Mahou
63'
-
Daniel Dos Santos
63'
-
Georgios Koutsias
64'
-
Zachary Brault-Guillard
84'
Basel vs Lugano - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lugano win with a probability of 39.71%. A win for Basel had a probability of 36.68% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lugano win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.48%) and 0-2 (5.81%). The likeliest Basel win was 2-1 (8.42%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.
Result
Basel
36.68%
▼
(-0.05)
Draw
23.6%
▲
(+0.02)
Lugano
39.71%
▲
(+0.04)
Both Teams to Score:
60.41%
▼
(-0.07)
Goals
Over 1.5
80.52%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 1.5
19.48%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 2.5
58.4%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 2.5
41.6%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 3.5
35.98%
▼
(-0.07)
Under 3.5
64.02%
▲
(+0.06)
Over 4.5
21.12%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 4.5
78.88%
▲
(+0.04)
First Half Winner
Basel
30.82%
▲
(+0.08)
Draw
38.53%
▼
(-0.15)
Lugano
30.64%
▲
(+0.07)
Team To Score First
Basel
47.45%
▲
(+0.06)
No Goal
4.78%
▲
(+0.05)
Lugano
47.77%
▼
(-0.09)
Corners
Over 8
56.21%
▼
(-0.01)
Equal 8
11.76%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 8
32.03%
▲
(+0.03)
Over 9
44.36%
▼
(-0.01)
Equal 9
11.84%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 9
43.79%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 10.5
33.44%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 10.5
66.56%
▼
(-0.01)
Basel Goals
Over 1.5
40.98%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 1.5
59.02%
▲
(+0.05)
Over 2.5
17.23%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 2.5
82.77%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 3.5
6.13%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 3.5
93.87%
▲
(+0.02)
Lugano Goals
Over 0.5
74.06%
Under 0.5
25.94%
Over 1.5
43.26%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 1.5
56.74%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 2.5
19.47%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 2.5
80.53%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 3.5
7%
Under 3.5
93%
Score analysis
Basel
36.69%
Draw
23.6%
Lugano
39.72%
Basel
2-1
@
8.42%
▲
(+0.01)
1-0 @ 7.23% ▼ (-0.03)
2-0 @ 5.38%
3-1 @ 3.99% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 3.11%
3-0 @ 2.58% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 5.98% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 36.69%
1-0 @ 7.23% ▼ (-0.03)
2-0 @ 5.38%
3-1 @ 3.99% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 3.11%
3-0 @ 2.58% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 5.98% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 36.69%
Draw
1-1
@
10.91%
▼
(-0.01)
2-2 @ 6.34%
0-0 @ 4.78% ▲ (+0.05)
3-3 @ 1.42% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 23.6%
2-2 @ 6.34%
0-0 @ 4.78% ▲ (+0.05)
3-3 @ 1.42% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 23.6%
Lugano
1-2
@
8.53%
▲
(+0.01)
0-1 @ 7.48% ▲ (+0.04)
0-2 @ 5.81% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 4.53% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 3.61% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 2.91% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 6.85%
Total : 39.72%
0-1 @ 7.48% ▲ (+0.04)
0-2 @ 5.81% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 4.53% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 3.61% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 2.91% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 6.85%
Total : 39.72%
Head to Head
-
Uran Bislimi
2'
-
Renato Steffen
59'
-
Zachary Brault-Guillard
64'
-
Anto Grgic
69'
-
Mattia Zanotti
75'
-
Albian Ajeti
4'
-
Albian Ajeti
33'
-
Albian Ajeti
42'
-
Xherdan Shaqiri
48'
-
Xherdan Shaqiri
51'
-
Xherdan Shaqiri
57'
-
Leo Leroy
60'