Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 46.68%. A win for Viktoria Plzen had a probability of 29.44% and a draw had a probability of 23.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.78%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Viktoria Plzen win was 0-1 (7.61%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.