Europa League Gameweek 8
Jan 29, 2026 8.00pm
St. Jakob-Park

Basel vs Viktoria Plzen - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Basel

All competitions
Last game
Jan 22, 2026 8.00pm
Salzburg 3 - 1 Basel

Viktoria Plzen

All competitions
Last game
Jan 22, 2026 5.45pm
Plzen 1 - 1 Porto

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Basel win with a probability of 46.77%. A win for Viktoria Plzen has a probability of 29.21% and a draw has a probability of 23.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Basel win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest Viktoria Plzen win is 0-1 (7.63%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.85%).

Result

Basel 46.77% (-0.58)
Draw 23.98% (-0.08)
Viktoria Plzen 29.21% (+0.58)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.38% (+0.41)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.93% (+0.35)
Under 1.5 25.07% (-0.34)
Over 2.5 52.38% (+0.42)
Under 2.5 47.62% (-0.42)
Over 3.5 30.56% (+0.27)
Under 3.5 69.44% (-0.27)
Over 4.5 18.12% (+0.13)
Under 4.5 81.88% (-0.13)

First Half Winner

Basel 40.12% (-0.13)
Draw 35.11% (+0.11)
Viktoria Plzen 24.77%

Team To Score First

Basel 56.2% (+0.13)
No Goal 7.21% (-0.17)
Viktoria Plzen 36.59% (+0.06)

Corners

Over 8 59.1% (+0.06)
Equal 8 10.65%
Under 8 30.26% (-0.04)
Over 9 48.14% (+0.04)
Equal 9 10.96% (+0.02)
Under 9 40.91% (-0.05)
Over 10.5 37.73% (+0.04)
Under 10.5 62.27% (-0.04)

Basel Goals

Over 1.5 44.71% (-0.18)
Under 1.5 55.29% (+0.18)
Over 2.5 21.37% (-0.09)
Under 2.5 78.63% (+0.09)
Over 3.5 8.63% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 91.37% (+0.05)

Viktoria Plzen Goals

Over 0.5 62.15% (+0.68)
Under 0.5 37.85% (-0.68)
Over 1.5 30.21% (+0.64)
Under 1.5 69.79% (-0.63)
Over 2.5 11.42% (+0.29)
Under 2.5 88.58% (-0.30)
Over 3.5 3.75% (+0.09)
Under 3.5 96.25% (-0.10)

Score analysis

Basel 46.78%
Draw 23.98%
Viktoria Plzen 29.21%
Basel
1-0 @ 10.2% (-0.28)
2-1 @ 8.77%
2-0 @ 7.44% (-0.19)
3-1 @ 4.69% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.43% (-0.08)
3-2 @ 2.71% (+0.03)
Other @ 8.54% (-0.05)
Total : 46.78%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.85% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 7.21% (-0.17)
2-2 @ 4.92% (+0.08)
Other @ 0.09%
Total : 23.98%
Viktoria Plzen
0-1 @ 7.63% (+0.04)
1-2 @ 6.9% (+0.15)
0-2 @ 4.26% (+0.11)
1-3 @ 2.82% (+0.08)
2-3 @ 2.21% (+0.05)
0-3 @ 1.73% (+0.08)
Other @ 3.66% (+0.10)
Total : 29.21%