Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sion win with a probability of 41.89%. A win for Basel had a probability of 33.53% and a draw had a probability of 24.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sion win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (6.39%). The likeliest Basel win was 1-2 (7.72%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.