Swiss Super League Gameweek 26
Feb 22, 2026 3.30pm
Sportplatz Chrüzmatt

Luzern vs Basel - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Luzern

All competitions
Swiss Super League
Last game
Feb 14, 2026 5.00pm
FC Zurich 1 - 4 Luzern
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Lucas Manuel Silva Ferreira

Basel

All competitions
Swiss Super League
Last game
Feb 15, 2026 3.30pm
Basel 1 - 1 Lugano
Goals scored
37
Top scorer
Xherdan Shaqiri  

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Luzern win with a probability of 42.19%. A win for Basel has a probability of 34.28% and a draw has a probability of 23.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luzern win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (6.61%) and 2-0 (5.5%). The likeliest Basel win is 1-2 (7.6%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.69%).

Result

Luzern 42.19%
Draw 23.53%
Basel 34.28%

Both Teams to Score: 

64.42% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 83.28% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 16.72% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 63.9% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 36.1% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 41.84% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 58.16% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 26.15% (+0.03)
Under 4.5 73.85% (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Luzern 33.96%
Draw 35.75%
Basel 30.29%

Team To Score First

Luzern 49.58%
No Goal 4.45% (-0.01)
Basel 45.97% (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 71.99%
Equal 8 9.48%
Under 8 18.54%
Over 9 61.1%
Equal 9 10.89%
Under 9 28.01%
Over 10.5 49.69%
Under 10.5 50.31%

Luzern Goals

Over 1.5 48.04% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 51.96% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 23.77% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 76.23% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 9.96% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 90.04% (-0.01)

Basel Goals

Over 0.5 70.52% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 29.48% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 41.74% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 58.26% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 19.02% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 80.98% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 7.79% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 92.21% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Luzern 42.2%
Draw 23.53%
Basel 34.27%
Luzern
2-1 @ 8.52%
1-0 @ 6.61% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 5.5% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.91% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.74% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 3.26%
Other @ 9.66% (+0.01)
Total : 42.2%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.69%
2-2 @ 7.19%
0-0 @ 4.45% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.9%
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 23.53%
Basel
1-2 @ 7.6% (-0.02)
0-1 @ 5.66%
0-2 @ 4.19%
1-3 @ 3.59%
2-3 @ 3.06%
0-3 @ 2.68%
Other @ 7.49% (+0.01)
Total : 34.27%

Head to Head

Swiss Super League
Dec 17, 2025 7.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Levin Winkler 16' yellowcard
  • Levin Winkler 17' yellowcard
  • Ruben Dantas Fernandes 39' yellowcard
  • Julian Vonmoos 54' goal
  • Julian Vonmoos 63' yellowcard
  • Stefan Knezevic 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Benie Traore 21'
  • yellowcard Leo Leroy 28'
  • goal Moritz Broschinski 49'
  • goal Koba Koindredi 75'
  • yellowcard Marin Soticek 83'
Swiss Super League
Sep 28, 2025 3.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Swiss Super League Gameweek 38
May 24, 2025 5.00pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT St. Jakob-Park (Basel)
  • Albian Ajeti 18' goal
  • Philip Otele 40' goal
  • Anton Kade 49' yellowcard
  • Anton Kade 55' goal
  • Jonas Adjei Adjetey 63' yellowcard
  • Benie Traore 69' goal
  • yellowcard Donat Rrudhani 29'
  • yellowcard Pius Dorn 84'
Swiss Super League Gameweek 27
Mar 9, 2025 3.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Sportplatz Chruzmatt
  • Stefan Knezevic 78' goal
  • yellowcard Adrian Leon Barisic 31'
  • goal Benie Traore 41'
  • yellowcard Joe Mendes 76'
Swiss Super League Gameweek 22
Feb 6, 2025 7.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT St. Jakob-Park (Basel)
  • Xherdan Shaqiri 4' goal
  • Leon Avdullahu 51' yellowcard
  • Xherdan Shaqiri 57' goal
  • Joe Mendes 89' yellowcard
  • Romario Baro 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Levin Winkler 1'
  • yellowcard Stefan Knezevic 58'
  • yellowcard Jakub Kadak 81'
  • redcard Andrejs Cigaņiks 90'+4'
Swiss Super League Gameweek 8
Sep 29, 2024 3.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Sportplatz Chruzmatt
  • Nicky Beloko 48' yellowcard
  • Luca Jaquez 78' goal
  • Severin Ottiger 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nicolas Vouilloz 45'+4'
  • yellowcard Leon Avdullahu 56'
  • yellowcard Bradley Fink 85'