Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luzern win with a probability of 42.2%. A win for Basel had a probability of 34.27% and a draw had a probability of 23.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luzern win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.75%) and 2-0 (5.65%). The likeliest Basel win was 1-2 (7.47%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.73%).