Mar 15, 2026 3.30pm

1

2

HT : 0 2

FT Sportplatz Chrüzmatt

Matteo Di Giusto 15'
Erblin Sadikaj 42'
Erblin Sadikaj 45'
Andrejs Ciganiks 64'
Lars Villiger 64'
Sandro Wyss 75'
Adrian Grbic 76'

Nishan Burkart 32'
Tibault Citherlet 37'
Luca Zuffi 46'
Alexandre Jankewitz 46'
Théo Golliard 45'+4'
Francis Momoh 51'
Bafode Dansoko 80'

Luzern vs FC Winterthur - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Luzern

All competitions

W
L
L
W
W
W

Swiss Super League

W
L
L
W
W
W

Last game

Mar 7, 2026 7.30pm

Lugano 1 - 3 Luzern

Goals scored

58

Top scorer

Oscar Kabwit

FC Winterthur

All competitions

D
D
L
L
L
L

Swiss Super League

D
D
L
L
L
L

Last game

Mar 7, 2026 5.00pm

Sion 1 - 1 Winterthur

Goals scored

34

Top scorer

Andrin Hunziker

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luzern win with a probability of 58.72%. A draw had a probability of 21.11% and a win for FC Winterthur had a probability of 20.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luzern win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.18%) and 2-0 (7.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.04%) , while for a FC Winterthur win it was 1-2 (5.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result

Luzern 58.72% ▼ (-0.08)

Draw 21.11% ▲ (+0.06)

FC Winterthur 20.17% ▲ (+0.05)

Both Teams to Score:

57.63% ▼ (-0.15)

Goals

Over 1.5 82.34% ▼ (-0.15)

Under 1.5 17.66% ▲ (+0.15)

Over 2.5 63.17% ▼ (-0.20)

Under 2.5 36.83% ▲ (+0.20)

Over 3.5 41.58% ▼ (-0.25)

Under 3.5 58.39% ▲ (+0.22)

Over 4.5 28.11% ▼ (-0.22)

Under 4.5 71.89% ▲ (+0.22)

First Half Winner

Luzern 45.54%

Draw 33.85%

FC Winterthur 20.6%

Team To Score First

Luzern 64.35% ▼ (-0.05)

No Goal 4.76% ▲ (+0.06)

FC Winterthur 30.89% ▼ (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 70.1% ▲ (+0.02)

Equal 8 9.53%

Under 8 20.37% ▼ (-0.02)

Over 9 59.39% ▲ (+0.03)

Equal 9 10.71%

Under 9 29.9% ▼ (-0.03)

Over 10.5 48.35% ▲ (+0.03)

Under 10.5 51.65% ▼ (-0.03)

Luzern Goals

Over 1.5 59.81% ▼ (-0.18)

Under 1.5 40.19% ▲ (+0.18)

Over 2.5 35.37% ▼ (-0.21)

Under 2.5 64.63% ▲ (+0.20)

Over 3.5 18.38% ▼ (-0.15)

Under 3.5 81.62% ▲ (+0.15)

FC Winterthur Goals

Over 0.5 55.85%

Under 0.5 44.15%

Over 1.5 26.43% ▼ (-0.08)

Under 1.5 73.57% ▲ (+0.07)

Over 2.5 9.51% ▼ (-0.06)

Under 2.5 90.49% ▲ (+0.05)

Over 3.5 2.88% ▼ (-0.03)

Under 3.5 97.12% ▲ (+0.03)

Score analysis

Luzern 58.71%

Draw 21.12%

FC Winterthur 20.17%

Luzern

2-1 @ 9.43% ▲ (+0.01)

1-0 @ 8.18% ▲ (+0.07)

2-0 @ 7.66% ▲ (+0.04)

3-1 @ 6.23% ▼ (-0.01)

3-0 @ 5.52%

3-2 @ 3.66% ▼ (-0.03)

Other @ 18.03% ▼ (-0.15)

Total : 58.71%

Draw

1-1 @ 9.04% ▲ (+0.03)

2-2 @ 5.39% ▼ (-0.02)

0-0 @ 4.76% ▲ (+0.06)

3-3 @ 1.58% ▼ (-0.03)

Other @ 0.35%

Total : 21.12%

FC Winterthur

1-2 @ 5.4% ▲ (+0.02)

0-1 @ 4.72% ▲ (+0.05)

0-2 @ 2.47% ▲ (+0.02)

2-3 @ 1.96% ▼ (-0.02)

1-3 @ 1.85% ▼ (-0.03)

0-3 @ 1.24% ▲ (+0.03)

Other @ 2.53% ▼ (-0.03)

Total : 20.17%

Head to Head

Nov 29, 2025 7.30pm

1

3

HT : 1 1

FT

Tyron Owusu 38'
Lucas Manuel Silva Ferreira 45'
Adrian Grbic 67'

Theo Golliard 36'
Pajtim Kasami 39'
Fabian Rohner 49'
Andrin Hunziker 63'
Elias Maluvunu 69'
Alexandre Jankewitz 89'

Oct 25, 2025 7.30pm

2

2

HT : 0 0

FT

Feb 9, 2025 3.30pm

3

2

HT : 1 1

FT Sportplatz Chruzmatt

Jesper Lofgren 14'
Vars Villiger 42'
Vars Villiger 80'
Kevin Spadanuda 89'

Christian Pierre Louis Gomis 33'
Tobias Schattin 38'
Randy Schneider 61'
Dario Ulrich 65'
Roman Buess 75'
Roman Buess 87'
Stefanos Kapino 88'

Dec 14, 2024 5.00pm

3

4

HT : 3 2

FT Stadion Schutzenwiese

Antoine Baroan 26'
Matteo Di Giusto 34'
Nishan Burkart 41'
Antoine Baroan 72'
Antoine Baroan 75'
Stefanos Kapino 90'
Adrian Durrer 90'

Kevin Spadanuda 1'
Thibault Klidje 3'
Donat Rrudhani 28'
Stefan Knezevic 48'
Severin Ottiger 90'+2'
Adrian Grbic 90'+3'
Donat Rrudhani 90'+5'

Aug 24, 2024 5.00pm

3

0

HT : 1 0

FT swissporarena

Vars Villiger 3'
Vars Villiger 51'
Sinan Karweina 77'
Nicky Beloko 89'

Granit Lekaj 33'
Randy Schneider 41'
Souleymane Diaby 68'
Boubacar Fofana 80'
Albin Krasniqi 90'+6'
Carmine Chiappetta 90'+6'

Feb 11, 2024 1.15pm

2

1

HT : 0 1

FT Stadion Schutzenwiese

Souleymane Diaby 9'
Tobias Schattin 51'
Sayfallah Ltaief 64'
Tobias Schattin 83'

Adrian Grbic 25'
Severin Ottiger 50'
Severin Ottiger 82'

Form Data

Lugano 1 - 3 Luzern

Luzern 1 - 2 Young Boys

Thun 2 - 1 Luzern

Luzern 4 - 2 Basel

FC Zurich 1 - 4 Luzern

Luzern 4 - 3 Grasshopper

Sion 1 - 1 Winterthur

Winterthur 1 - 1 Servette

St Gallen 2 - 1 Winterthur

Winterthur 0 - 3 Thun

Winterthur 1 - 5 St Gallen

Young Boys 6 - 1 Winterthur