Swiss Super League Gameweek 29
Mar 7, 2026 7.30pm
Stadio di Cornaredo

Lugano vs Luzern - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Lugano

All competitions
Swiss Super League
Last game
Mar 4, 2026 7.30pm
Lugano 2 - 1 Sion
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Kevin Behrens

Luzern

All competitions
Swiss Super League
Last game
Mar 4, 2026 7.30pm
Luzern 1 - 2 Young Boys
Goals scored
54
Top scorer
Oscar Kabwit

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Lugano win with a probability of 46.89%. A win for Luzern has a probability of 28.7% and a draw has a probability of 24.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lugano win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.67%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest Luzern win is 1-2 (7.02%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.86%).

Result

Lugano 46.89% (-0.36)
Draw 24.44%
Luzern 28.7% (+0.38)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.34% (+0.45)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.97% (+0.36)
Under 1.5 20.03% (-0.36)
Over 2.5 58.29% (+0.48)
Under 2.5 41.71% (-0.48)
Over 3.5 35.92% (+0.56)
Under 3.5 64.08% (-0.55)
Over 4.5 21.43% (+0.40)
Under 4.5 78.57% (-0.41)

First Half Winner

Lugano 37.23% (+0.05)
Draw 37.92% (+0.31)
Luzern 24.85% (-0.35)

Team To Score First

Lugano 52.91% (-1.35)
No Goal 5.32% (-0.09)
Luzern 41.77% (+1.43)

Corners

Over 8 57.13% (-2.13)
Equal 8 11.65% (+0.33)
Under 8 31.22% (+1.81)
Over 9 45.32% (-2.26)
Equal 9 11.81% (+0.14)
Under 9 42.87% (+2.13)
Over 10.5 34.34% (-2.20)
Under 10.5 65.66% (+2.20)

Lugano Goals

Over 1.5 49.14% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 50.86% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 23.88% (+0.12)
Under 2.5 76.12% (-0.12)
Over 3.5 9.44% (+0.11)
Under 3.5 90.56% (-0.11)

Luzern Goals

Over 0.5 65.78% (+0.33)
Under 0.5 34.22% (-0.33)
Over 1.5 34.25% (+0.57)
Under 1.5 65.75% (-0.57)
Over 2.5 13.88% (+0.47)
Under 2.5 86.12% (-0.46)
Over 3.5 4.7% (+0.21)
Under 3.5 95.3% (-0.22)

Score analysis

Lugano 46.9%
Draw 24.44%
Luzern 28.7%
Lugano
2-1 @ 9.35% (-0.13)
1-0 @ 8.67% (-0.17)
2-0 @ 7.05% (-0.11)
3-1 @ 5.24% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.17% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 3.37% (-0.05)
Other @ 9.05% (+0.09)
Total : 46.9%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.86% (-0.06)
2-2 @ 6.21% (+0.05)
0-0 @ 5.32% (-0.09)
3-3 @ 1.66% (+0.06)
Other @ 0.39% (+0.04)
Total : 24.44%
Luzern
1-2 @ 7.02% (+0.05)
0-1 @ 6.08% (-0.09)
0-2 @ 3.77% (+0.05)
1-3 @ 3.04% (+0.09)
2-3 @ 2.65% (+0.09)
0-3 @ 1.83% (+0.02)
Other @ 4.31% (+0.18)
Total : 28.7%

Head to Head

Swiss Super League Gameweek 20
Jan 17, 2026 5.00pm
2
5
HT : 1 3
FT Sportplatz Chrüzmatt
  • Matteo Di Giusto 25' goal
  • Levin Winkler 46' yellowcard
  • Andrejs Cigaņiks 46' yellowcard
  • Andrejs Ciganiks 46' yellowcard
  • Lucas Manuel Silva Ferreira 60' yellowcard
  • Bung Meng Freimann 71' goal
  • Adrian Grbic 71' yellowcard
  • Andrej Vasovic 77' yellowcard
  • goal Uran Bislimi 41'
  • goal Uran Bislimi 45'
  • goal Kevin Behrens 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Hadj Mahmoud 52'
  • yellowcard Mohamed Belhadj Mahmoud 52'
  • goal Uran Bislimi 59'
  • goal Kevin Behrens 61'
  • yellowcard Damian Kelvin 77'
  • yellowcard Ezgjan Alioski 77'
  • yellowcard Pablo Acebal 77'
  • yellowcard Hicham Mahou 85'
  • yellowcard Ahmed Kendouci 85'
Swiss Super League
Oct 30, 2025 7.30pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Swiss Super League Gameweek 34
May 4, 2025 3.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Sportplatz Chruzmatt
  • Nicky Beloko 16' yellowcard
  • Bung Meng Freimann 55' yellowcard
  • Vars Villiger 55' yellowcard
  • Bung Meng Freimann 86' redcard
  • goal Mattia Bottani 12'
  • yellowcard Yanis Cimignani 21'
  • yellowcard Mattia Bottani 55'
  • yellowcard Renato Steffen 56'
  • yellowcard Ousmane Doumbia 61'
  • yellowcard Ayman El Wafi 69'
  • yellowcard Sebastian Osigwe 82'
  • yellowcard Antonios Papadopoulos 84'
  • goal Georgios Koutsias 90'+1'
Swiss Super League Gameweek 24
Feb 15, 2025 5.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio di Cornaredo
  • 41' goal
  • Yanis Cimignani 67' goal
  • Albian Hajdari 82' yellowcard
  • Hadj Mahmoud 89' goal
  • Amir Saipi 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Donat Rrudhani 42'
  • yellowcard Aleksandar Stankovic 70'
  • yellowcard Pius Dorn 87'
Swiss Super League Gameweek 17
Dec 7, 2024 7.30pm
1
4
HT : 0 3
FT Sportplatz Chruzmatt
  • Kevin Spadanuda 20' yellowcard
  • Aleksandar Stankovic 34' yellowcard
  • Donat Rrudhani 76' goal
  • yellowcard Mattia Croci-Torti 21'
  • goal Kacper Przybylko 26'
  • goal Anto Grgic 35'
  • goal Hadj Mahmoud 40'
  • yellowcard Anto Grgic 42'
  • yellowcard Antonios Papadopoulos 49'
  • goal Renato Steffen 64'
  • yellowcard Albian Hajdari 76'
  • goal Mattia Bottani 90'+8'
Swiss Super League Gameweek 4
Aug 11, 2024 3.30pm
2
3
HT : 2 1
FT Stadio di Cornaredo
  • Hicham Mahou 3' goal
  • Shkelqim Vladi 43' goal
  • Antonios Papadopoulos 60' yellowcard
  • Lars Lukas Mai 70' yellowcard
  • goal Pius Dorn 12'
  • yellowcard Severin Ottiger 55'
  • yellowcard Pius Dorn 61'
  • goal Thibault Klidje 75'
  • goal Thibault Klidje 88'