Swiss Super League Gameweek 28
Mar 4, 2026 7.30pm
Stadio di Cornaredo

Lugano vs Sion - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Lugano

All competitions
Swiss Super League
Last game
Mar 1, 2026 3.30pm
Grasshopper 1 - 0 Lugano
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Kevin Behrens

Sion

All competitions
Swiss Super League
Last game
Feb 28, 2026 7.30pm
Servette 0 - 0 Sion
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
Rilind Nivokazi

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Lugano win with a probability of 48.51%. A win for Sion has a probability of 25.81% and a draw has a probability of 25.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lugano win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.27%) and 2-0 (8.16%). The likeliest Sion win is 0-1 (6.59%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.09%).

Result

Lugano 48.51% (+0.80)
Draw 25.68% (-0.34)
Sion 25.81% (-0.50)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.83% (-1.25)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.87% (-0.33)
Under 1.5 25.13% (+0.33)
Over 2.5 52.2% (-0.10)
Under 2.5 47.8% (+0.10)
Over 3.5 30.62% (-0.35)
Under 3.5 69.38% (+0.35)
Over 4.5 17.85% (-0.17)
Under 4.5 82.15% (+0.18)

First Half Winner

Lugano 37.91% (-0.25)
Draw 38.89% (+0.18)
Sion 23.2% (+0.08)

Team To Score First

Lugano 54.32% (+0.90)
No Goal 7.49% (+0.08)
Sion 38.19% (-0.97)

Corners

Over 8 59.36% (+1.93)
Equal 8 11.57% (+0.21)
Under 8 29.07% (-2.13)
Over 9 47.42% (+1.56)
Equal 9 11.94% (+0.39)
Under 9 40.64% (-1.93)
Over 10.5 36.16% (+1.08)
Under 10.5 63.84% (-1.08)

Lugano Goals

Over 1.5 46.73% (+0.37)
Under 1.5 53.27% (-0.37)
Over 2.5 21.65% (+0.34)
Under 2.5 78.35% (-0.35)
Over 3.5 8.18% (+0.28)
Under 3.5 91.82% (-0.29)

Sion Goals

Over 0.5 60.97% (-0.93)
Under 0.5 39.03% (+0.93)
Over 1.5 29.23% (-0.84)
Under 1.5 70.77% (+0.84)
Over 2.5 11.05% (-0.48)
Under 2.5 88.95% (+0.49)
Over 3.5 3.56% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 96.44% (+0.05)

Score analysis

Lugano 48.5%
Draw 25.67%
Sion 25.8%
Lugano
1-0 @ 11.02% (+0.06)
2-1 @ 9.27% (+0.10)
2-0 @ 8.16% (+0.18)
3-1 @ 4.79% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 4.44% (+0.27)
3-2 @ 2.93% (-0.09)
Other @ 7.89% (+0.30)
Total : 48.5%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.09% (-0.31)
0-0 @ 7.49% (+0.08)
2-2 @ 5.49% (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.31% (-0.09)
Other @ 0.29% (-0.02)
Total : 25.67%
Sion
0-1 @ 6.59% (+0.13)
1-2 @ 6.31% (-0.19)
0-2 @ 3.45% (-0.07)
1-3 @ 2.47% (-0.18)
2-3 @ 2.16% (-0.23)
0-3 @ 1.55% (+0.08)
Other @ 3.27% (-0.05)
Total : 25.8%

Head to Head

Swiss Super League
Nov 29, 2025 5.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Lars Lukas Mai 2' yellowcard
  • Yanis Cimignani 29' goal
  • Martim Marques 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jan Kronig 27'
  • yellowcard Kreshnik Hajrizi 33'
  • goal Liam Chipperfield 63'
Swiss Super League Gameweek 27
Mar 9, 2025 3.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stade de Tourbillon
  • Benjamin Kololli 3' goal
  • Federico Barba 10' yellowcard
  • Noe Sow 53' yellowcard
  • Gora Diouf 63' goal
  • Theo Bouchlarhem 90' yellowcard
  • Ilyas Chouaref 90'+7' yellowcard
  • goal Anto Grgic 13'
  • yellowcard Milton Valenzuela 21'
  • yellowcard Yanis Cimignani 45'
  • yellowcard Roman Macek 46'
  • yellowcard Amir Saipi 61'
  • yellowcard Lars Lukas Mai 87'
Swiss Super League Gameweek 21
Feb 1, 2025 5.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 1
FT Stadio di Cornaredo
  • Shkelqim Vladi 25' goal
  • Uran Bislimi 36' yellowcard
  • Mattia Zanotti 69' yellowcard
  • Kreshnik Hajrizi 82' goal
  • Anto Grgic 90'+4' goal
  • goal Anton Miranchuk 15'
  • yellowcard Theo Bouchlarhem 42'
  • yellowcard Ilyas Chouaref 72'
  • goal Dejan Sorgic 88'
Swiss Super League Gameweek 7
Sep 22, 2024 3.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stade de Tourbillon
  • Didier Tholot 37' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Anto Grgic 36'
  • yellowcard Albian Hajdari 49'
  • yellowcard Yanis Cimignani 66'
  • yellowcard Roman Macek 90'+3'
Swiss Super League Gameweek 29
Apr 23, 2023 3.30pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Milton Valenzuela 90' goal
  • Mohamed El Amine Amoura 90'+4' goal
Swiss Super League Gameweek 23
Mar 5, 2023 3.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Giovanni Sio 66' goal
  • goal Ousmane Doumbia 34'