Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lugano win with a probability of 48.48%. A win for Sion had a probability of 25.84% and a draw had a probability of 25.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lugano win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.27%) and 2-0 (8.15%). The likeliest Sion win was 0-1 (6.58%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.