Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luzern win with a probability of 50.86%. A win for Young Boys had a probability of 26.21% and a draw had a probability of 22.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luzern win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.85%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Young Boys win was 1-2 (6.56%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.