Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Gallen win with a probability of 44.92%. A win for Young Boys had a probability of 31.72% and a draw had a probability of 23.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Gallen win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.24%) and 2-0 (6.13%). The likeliest Young Boys win was 1-2 (7.61%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood.