Swiss Super League Gameweek 27
Feb 28, 2026 5.00pm
Stockhorn Arena

Thun vs Luzern - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Thun

All competitions
Swiss Super League
Last game
Feb 15, 2026 1.00pm
Thun 1 - 0 Sion
Goals scored
57
Top scorer
Elmin Rastoder

Luzern

All competitions
Swiss Super League
Last game
Feb 22, 2026 3.30pm
Luzern 4 - 2 Basel
Goals scored
52
Top scorer
Oscar Kabwit

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Thun win with a probability of 51.54%. A win for Luzern has a probability of 25.45% and a draw has a probability of 23.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Thun win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.96%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Luzern win is 1-2 (6.34%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.31%).

Result

Thun 51.54% (+0.15)
Draw 23.01% (+0.02)
Luzern 25.45% (-0.13)

Both Teams to Score: 

61.48% (-0.15)

Goals

Over 1.5 82.55% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 17.45% (+0.06)
Over 2.5 62.03% (-0.11)
Under 2.5 37.97% (+0.11)
Over 3.5 40.32% (-0.14)
Under 3.5 59.68% (+0.14)
Over 4.5 24.92% (-0.10)
Under 4.5 75.08% (+0.10)

First Half Winner

Thun 40.76% (+0.09)
Draw 36.97% (-0.07)
Luzern 22.27% (-0.04)

Team To Score First

Thun 59% (+0.01)
No Goal 4.31% (+0.03)
Luzern 36.69% (-0.04)

Corners

Over 8 65.19%
Equal 8 10.39%
Under 8 24.41% (-0.02)
Over 9 53.98% (+0.01)
Equal 9 11.22%
Under 9 34.81%
Over 10.5 42.87% (+0.01)
Under 10.5 57.13% (-0.01)

Thun Goals

Over 1.5 54.65% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 45.35% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 28.94% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 71.06% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 12.31%
Under 3.5 87.69%

Luzern Goals

Over 0.5 64.2% (-0.13)
Under 0.5 35.8% (+0.13)
Over 1.5 33% (-0.19)
Under 1.5 67% (+0.19)
Over 2.5 12.77% (-0.13)
Under 2.5 87.23% (+0.13)
Over 3.5 4.27% (-0.07)
Under 3.5 95.73% (+0.07)

Score analysis

Thun 51.53%
Draw 23.02%
Luzern 25.44%
Thun
2-1 @ 9.6% (+0.02)
1-0 @ 7.96% (+0.04)
2-0 @ 7.04% (+0.05)
3-1 @ 6.12% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.51% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 4.33% (-0.01)
Other @ 11.97%
Total : 51.53%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.31% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 6.39% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 4.31% (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.67% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 23.02%
Luzern
1-2 @ 6.34% (-0.04)
0-1 @ 5.17% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.17% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 2.89% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.68% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.26%
Other @ 3.93% (-0.07)
Total : 25.44%

Head to Head

Swiss Super League
Dec 6, 2025 5.00pm
4
1
HT : 3 0
FT
  • Brighton Labeau 18' goal
  • Genís Montolio Lafuente 34' goal
  • Jan Bamert 36' goal
  • Marco Burki 57' yellowcard
  • Franz-Ethan Meichtry 58' goal
  • 87' yellowcard
  • Adam Ilic 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Adrian Bajrami 33'
  • goal Vars Villiger 90'+2'
Swiss Super League
Aug 9, 2025 7.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Swiss Super League Gameweek 28
Jul 5, 2020 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Swissporarena
  • Lucas Alves 10' goal
  • Francesco Margiotta 13' goal
  • Pascal Schurpf 62' goal
  • yellowcard Nikki Havenaar 15'
  • yellowcard Leonardo Bertone 15'
  • yellowcard Justin Roth 74'
Swiss Super League Gameweek 23
Feb 22, 2020 6.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stockhorn Arena
  • Ridge Munsy 9' goal
  • Miguel Castroman 37' yellowcard
  • Hassane Bande 81' yellowcard
  • goal Francesco Margiotta 4'
  • yellowcard Darian Males 19'
  • yellowcard Marco Burki 44'
Swiss Super League Gameweek 10
Oct 5, 2019 6.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Stockhorn Arena (Thun)
  • Nikki Havenaar 76' yellowcard
  • goal Francesco Margiotta 51'
  • yellowcard Ibrahima Ndiaye 67'
  • goal Darian Males 79'
  • yellowcard Shkelqim Demhasaj 89'
Swiss Super League Gameweek 4
Aug 11, 2019 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Silvan Sidler 92' yellowcard
  • goal Nikki Havenaar 33'
  • yellowcard Roy Gelmi 62'
  • yellowcard Guillaume Faivre 89'
  • goal Chris Kablan 91'