Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Gallen win with a probability of 47.45%. A win for FC Winterthur had a probability of 27.17% and a draw had a probability of 25.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Gallen win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.47%) and 0-2 (7.98%). The likeliest FC Winterthur win was 1-0 (7.35%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%).