Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Zurich win with a probability of 49.42%. A win for FC Winterthur had a probability of 27.79% and a draw had a probability of 22.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Zurich win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.02%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest FC Winterthur win was 1-2 (6.98%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.58%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.