Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Gallen win with a probability of 63.07%. A draw had a probability of 20.39% and a win for FC Winterthur had a probability of 16.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Gallen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.12%) and 2-1 (10.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.53%) , while for a FC Winterthur win it was 1-2 (4.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.