Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Servette win with a probability of 43.82%. A win for Luzern had a probability of 31.32% and a draw had a probability of 24.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Servette win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.36%) and 2-0 (6.42%). The likeliest Luzern win was 1-2 (7.39%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.