Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 51.69%. A win for Union Berlin has a probability of 24.43% and a draw has a probability of 23.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (9.59%) and 2-0 (8.09%). The likeliest Union Berlin win is 1-2 (6.3%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.71%).