/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fmailog.png)
-
Adam Dzwigala
46'
-
Connor Metcalfe
46'
-
Abdoulie Ceesay
65'
-
Martijn Kaars
65'
-
Mathias Rasmussen
84'
-
Abdoulie Ceesay
87'
-
Phillip Tietz
6'
-
Grenddy Perozo
40'
-
Armindo Sieb
72'
-
Dominik Kohr
76'
-
Dominik Kohr
77'
-
Anthony Caci
77'
-
Lennard Maloney
84'
-
Nelson Weiper
84'
St Pauli vs Mainz 05 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 40.05%. A win for St Pauli had a probability of 32.94% and a draw had a probability of 27.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.55%) and 0-2 (7.04%). The likeliest St Pauli win was 1-0 (9.61%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.
Result
St Pauli
32.94%
▼
(-0.41)
Draw
27.05%
▼
(-0.10)
Mainz 05
40.05%
▲
(+0.58)
Both Teams to Score:
50.41%
▲
(+0.23)
Goals
Over 1.5
71.37%
▲
(+0.31)
Under 1.5
28.63%
▼
(-0.31)
Over 2.5
45.86%
▲
(+0.34)
Under 2.5
54.11%
▼
(-0.37)
Over 3.5
24.7%
▲
(+0.31)
Under 3.5
75.3%
▼
(-0.30)
Over 4.5
12.85%
▲
(+0.24)
Under 4.5
87.15%
▼
(-0.23)
First Half Winner
St Pauli
24.98%
Draw
44.42%
Mainz 05
30.61%
Team To Score First
St Pauli
44.05%
▲
(+0.04)
No Goal
8.34%
▼
(-0.09)
Mainz 05
47.61%
▲
(+0.05)
Corners
Over 8
52.91%
Equal 8
12.18%
Under 8
34.91%
Over 9
40.95%
Equal 9
11.96%
Under 9
47.09%
Over 10.5
30.21%
Under 10.5
69.79%
St Pauli Goals
Over 1.5
31.44%
▼
(-0.17)
Under 1.5
68.56%
▲
(+0.16)
Over 2.5
11.22%
▼
(-0.09)
Under 2.5
88.78%
▲
(+0.10)
Over 3.5
3.12%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 3.5
96.88%
▲
(+0.02)
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5
71.16%
▲
(+0.48)
Under 0.5
28.84%
▼
(-0.49)
Over 1.5
37.34%
▲
(+0.62)
Under 1.5
62.66%
▼
(-0.62)
Over 2.5
14.63%
▲
(+0.42)
Under 2.5
85.37%
▼
(-0.43)
Over 3.5
4.7%
▲
(+0.21)
Under 3.5
95.3%
▼
(-0.21)
Score analysis
St Pauli
32.94%
Draw
27.06%
Mainz 05
40.05%
St Pauli
1-0
@
9.61%
▼
(-0.14)
2-1 @ 7.33% ▼ (-0.06)
2-0 @ 5.68% ▼ (-0.09)
3-1 @ 2.98% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 2.2% ▼ (-0.05)
3-2 @ 2.08%
Other @ 3.06% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 32.94%
2-1 @ 7.33% ▼ (-0.06)
2-0 @ 5.68% ▼ (-0.09)
3-1 @ 2.98% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 2.2% ▼ (-0.05)
3-2 @ 2.08%
Other @ 3.06% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 32.94%
Draw
1-1
@
12.78%
▼
(-0.06)
0-0 @ 8.34% ▼ (-0.09)
2-2 @ 5.04% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 0.06% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 27.06%
0-0 @ 8.34% ▼ (-0.09)
2-2 @ 5.04% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 0.06% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 27.06%
Mainz 05
0-1
@
10.73%
▲
(+0.01)
1-2 @ 8.55% ▲ (+0.08)
0-2 @ 7.04% ▲ (+0.09)
1-3 @ 3.84% ▲ (+0.09)
0-3 @ 3.08% ▲ (+0.09)
2-3 @ 2.17% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 4.64% ▲ (+0.19)
Total : 40.05%
1-2 @ 8.55% ▲ (+0.08)
0-2 @ 7.04% ▲ (+0.09)
1-3 @ 3.84% ▲ (+0.09)
0-3 @ 3.08% ▲ (+0.09)
2-3 @ 2.17% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 4.64% ▲ (+0.19)
Total : 40.05%