Bundesliga
Apr 25, 2026 2.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Walter-Birkhold-Jugendstadion
  • Budu Zivzivadze 3' goal
  • Luca Kerber 56' yellowcard
  • Eren Dinkçi 82' goal
  • Julian Niehues 85' yellowcard
  • Christian Conteh 90' yellowcard
  • Stefan Schimmer 90' yellowcard
  • Arijon Ibrahimovic 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Christian Conteh 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Stefan Schimmer 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Eric Smith 46'
  • yellowcard Martijn Kaars 46'
  • yellowcard Lars Ritzka 63'
  • yellowcard Lars Ritzka 64'
  • yellowcard Abdoulie Ceesay 64'
  • yellowcard Connor Metcalfe 88'

Heidenheim vs St Pauli - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Heidenheim

All competitions
Last game
Apr 19, 2026 2.30pm
Freiburg 2 - 1 Heidenheim
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Stefan Schimmer

St Pauli

All competitions
Last game
Apr 17, 2026 7.30pm
St Pauli 1 - 1 FC Koln
Goals scored
26
Top scorer
Martijn Kaars

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 37.25%. A win for Heidenheim had a probability of 36.39% and a draw had a probability of 26.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.31%) and 0-2 (5.94%). The likeliest Heidenheim win was 1-0 (9.04%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result

Heidenheim 36.39% (-0.04)
Draw 26.36% (+0.04)
St Pauli 37.25% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.34%

Goals

Over 1.5 74.98% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 25.02% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 50.77%
Under 2.5 49.23%
Over 3.5 29.24% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 70.76% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 15.95% (-0.05)
Under 4.5 84.05% (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Heidenheim 28.23%
Draw 41.78%
St Pauli 29.99%

Team To Score First

Heidenheim 46.83% (-0.02)
No Goal 6.99% (+0.03)
St Pauli 46.18% (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 54.48%
Equal 8 11.86%
Under 8 33.66%
Over 9 42.7%
Equal 9 11.78%
Under 9 45.52%
Over 10.5 31.97%
Under 10.5 68.03%

Heidenheim Goals

Over 1.5 37.02% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 62.98% (+0.05)
Over 2.5 14.77% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 85.23% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 4.67% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 95.33% (+0.02)

St Pauli Goals

Over 0.5 70.9% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 29.1% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 37.99%
Under 1.5 62.01%
Over 2.5 15.51% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 84.49% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 5.3%
Under 3.5 94.7%

Score analysis

Heidenheim 36.39%
Draw 26.36%
St Pauli 37.24%
Heidenheim
1-0 @ 9.04%
2-1 @ 7.98%
2-0 @ 6.1% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 3.77% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.56% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.54% (-0.01)
Other @ 4.4% (-0.02)
Total : 36.39%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.18% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 6.99% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 5.69%
3-3 @ 1.23%
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 26.36%
St Pauli
0-1 @ 8.98% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 8.31% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 5.94% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 3.82% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 2.68% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.48% (-0.02)
Other @ 5.03%
Total : 37.24%

Head to Head

Bundesliga
Dec 13, 2025 2.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • James Sands 25' yellowcard
  • Martijn Kaars 35' goal
  • Eric Smith 45' redcard
  • Alexander Blessin 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Alexander Blessin 45'+4' yellowcard
  • Martijn Kaars 53' goal
  • Arkadiusz Pyrka 69' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jan Schoppner 42'
  • goal Marvin Pieringer 64'
  • yellowcard Mikkel Kaufmann 73'
  • yellowcard Marvin Pieringer 87'
Bundesliga Gameweek 18
Jan 18, 2025 2.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Voith-Arena
  • Luca Kerber 84' yellowcard
  • goal Johannes Eggestein 25'
  • yellowcard James Sands 38'
  • yellowcard Eric Smith 70'
  • goal Morgan Guilavogui 90'+2'
Bundesliga Gameweek 1
Aug 25, 2024 4.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Millerntor-Stadion
  • Jackson Irvine 18' yellowcard
  • Robert Wagner 28' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lennard Maloney 22'
  • goal Paul Wanner 66'
  • yellowcard Omar Traore 74'
  • yellowcard Benedikt Gimber 78'
  • goal Jan Schoppner 82'
2.Bundesliga Gameweek 27
Apr 8, 2023 7.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • goal Marcel Hartel 41'
2.Bundesliga Gameweek 10
Oct 1, 2022 7.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
2.Bundesliga Gameweek 27
Mar 18, 2022 5.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Simon Makienok 33' yellowcard
  • Marcel Beifus 51' yellowcard
  • Daniel-Kofi Kyereh 67' goal
  • Nikola Vasilj 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Christian Kuhlwetter 25'
  • yellowcard Dzenis Burnic 43'
  • yellowcard Andreas Geipl 56'