Club Friendlies 3
Jul 4, 2026 12.00pm
St. Jakob-Park

Basel vs FC Aarau - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Basel

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jun 26, 2026 5.00pm
Rapperswil-Jona 0 - 3 Basel

FC Aarau

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jan 17, 2026 12.00pm
Aarau 4 - 2 Schaffhausen

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Basel win with a probability of 39.82%. A win for FC Aarau has a probability of 36.79% and a draw has a probability of 23.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Basel win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (5.63%) and 2-0 (4.84%). The likeliest FC Aarau win is 1-2 (8.38%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.68%).

Result

Basel 39.82%
Draw 23.39%
FC Aarau 36.79%

Both Teams to Score: 

66.45%

Goals

Over 1.5 84.88%
Under 1.5 15.12%
Over 2.5 66.4%
Under 2.5 33.6%
Over 3.5 43.41%
Under 3.5 56.59%
Over 4.5 27.18%
Under 4.5 72.82%

First Half Winner

Basel 31.2%
Draw 37.51%
FC Aarau 31.3%

Team To Score First

Basel 48.51%
No Goal 3.96%
FC Aarau 47.53%

Corners

Over 8 68.04%
Equal 8 10.14%
Under 8 21.82%
Over 9 56.81%
Equal 9 11.23%
Under 9 31.96%
Over 10.5 45.44%
Under 10.5 54.56%

Basel Goals

Over 1.5 47.5%
Under 1.5 52.5%
Over 2.5 23.46%
Under 2.5 76.54%
Over 3.5 9.17%
Under 3.5 90.83%

FC Aarau Goals

Over 0.5 73.5%
Under 0.5 26.5%
Over 1.5 44.91%
Under 1.5 55.09%
Over 2.5 21.7%
Under 2.5 78.3%
Over 3.5 8.68%
Under 3.5 91.32%

Score analysis

Basel 39.81%
Draw 23.38%
FC Aarau 36.78%
Basel
2-1 @ 8.66%
1-0 @ 5.63%
2-0 @ 4.84%
3-1 @ 4.75%
3-2 @ 3.89%
3-0 @ 3.33%
Other @ 8.71%
Total : 39.81%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.68%
2-2 @ 6.96%
0-0 @ 3.96%
3-3 @ 2.32%
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 23.38%
FC Aarau
1-2 @ 8.38%
0-1 @ 5.5%
1-3 @ 4.51%
0-2 @ 3.98%
2-3 @ 3.58%
0-3 @ 2.61%
Other @ 8.22%
Total : 36.78%