Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Lugano win with a probability of 43.96%. A win for Basel has a probability of 34.07% and a draw has a probability of 21.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lugano win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 3-1 (5.35%) and 1-0 (5.26%). The likeliest Basel win is 1-2 (7.89%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (8.77%).