Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Young Boys win with a probability of 48.52%. A win for Basel had a probability of 30.66% and a draw had a probability of 20.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Young Boys win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.07%) and 2-0 (5.73%). The likeliest Basel win was 1-2 (7.27%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.