Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 46.93%. A win for Young Boys had a probability of 30.39% and a draw had a probability of 22.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.77%) and 2-0 (6.54%). The likeliest Young Boys win was 1-2 (6.84%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.84%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.