Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Young Boys win with a probability of 41.21%. A win for Thun had a probability of 36.28% and a draw had a probability of 22.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Young Boys win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.71%) and 2-0 (4.84%). The likeliest Thun win was 1-2 (7.59%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.