Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Thun win with a probability of 46.8%. A win for St Gallen had a probability of 29% and a draw had a probability of 24.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Thun win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.45%) and 2-0 (6.88%). The likeliest St Gallen win was 1-2 (7.12%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.