Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 40.2%. A win for Sion had a probability of 35.2% and a draw had a probability of 24.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.91%) and 2-0 (6.71%). The likeliest Sion win was 1-2 (7.21%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.