Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sion win with a probability of 41.64%. A win for St Gallen had a probability of 30.74% and a draw had a probability of 27.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sion win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest St Gallen win was 0-1 (9.5%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.