Swiss Super League
Apr 25, 2026 7.30pm
Stockhorn Arena

Thun vs Lugano - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Thun

All competitions
Swiss Super League
Last game
Apr 18, 2026 7.30pm
Thun 3 - 1 Basel
Goals scored
75
Top scorer
Elmin Rastoder

Lugano

All competitions
Swiss Super League
Last game
Apr 11, 2026 5.00pm
FC Zurich 0 - 1 Lugano
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Kevin Behrens

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Thun win with a probability of 42.07%. A win for Lugano has a probability of 33.21% and a draw has a probability of 24.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Thun win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.11%) and 2-0 (5.71%). The likeliest Lugano win is 1-2 (7.5%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.03%).

Result

Thun 42.07%
Draw 24.72%
Lugano 33.21%

Both Teams to Score: 

62.13%

Goals

Over 1.5 82%
Under 1.5 18%
Over 2.5 60.62%
Under 2.5 39.38%
Over 3.5 38.5%
Under 3.5 61.5%
Over 4.5 23.38%
Under 4.5 76.62%

First Half Winner

Thun 36%
Draw 38.92%
Lugano 25.08%

Team To Score First

Thun 49.11%
No Goal 4.69%
Lugano 46.2%

Corners

Over 8 61.11%
Equal 8 11.35%
Under 8 27.54%
Over 9 49.22%
Equal 9 11.89%
Under 9 38.89%
Over 10.5 37.83%
Under 10.5 62.17%

Thun Goals

Over 1.5 47.25%
Under 1.5 52.75%
Over 2.5 22.49%
Under 2.5 77.51%
Over 3.5 9.05%
Under 3.5 90.95%

Lugano Goals

Over 0.5 70.58%
Under 0.5 29.42%
Over 1.5 39.57%
Under 1.5 60.43%
Over 2.5 17.21%
Under 2.5 82.79%
Over 3.5 6.01%
Under 3.5 93.99%

Score analysis

Thun 42.07%
Draw 24.73%
Lugano 33.21%
Thun
2-1 @ 9.1%
1-0 @ 7.11%
2-0 @ 5.71%
3-1 @ 4.67%
3-2 @ 3.56%
3-0 @ 3.3%
Other @ 8.62%
Total : 42.07%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.03%
2-2 @ 6.67%
0-0 @ 4.69%
3-3 @ 1.91%
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 24.73%
Lugano
1-2 @ 7.5%
0-1 @ 6.21%
0-2 @ 4.63%
1-3 @ 3.79%
2-3 @ 3.28%
0-3 @ 2.22%
Other @ 5.58%
Total : 33.21%

Head to Head

Swiss Super League
Apr 4, 2026 5.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio di Cornaredo
  • Daniel Dos Santos 59' goal
  • Martim Marques 71' yellowcard
  • Pablo Acebal 84' yellowcard
  • Mattia Bottani 84' yellowcard
  • Mohamed Belhadj Mahmoud 84' yellowcard
  • Elias Pihlström 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Furkan Dursun 67'
  • yellowcard Nils Reichmuth 67'
  • yellowcard Valmir Matoshi 67'
  • yellowcard Justin Roth 79'
  • yellowcard Marc Gutbub 86'
Swiss Super League
Nov 22, 2025 7.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Swiss Super League Gameweek 1
Jul 27, 2025 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Swiss Super League Gameweek 31
Jul 15, 2020 7.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Cornaredo
  • Jonathan Sabbatini 87' yellowcard
  • Stefano Guidotti 89' goal
  • goal Nias Hefti 55'
  • yellowcard Chris Kablan 74'
  • yellowcard Basil Stillhart 82'
Swiss Super League Gameweek 21
Feb 9, 2020 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 2 1
FT Stockhorn Arena
  • Chris Kablan 17' goal
  • Basil Stillhart 21' goal
  • Ridge Munsy 49' yellowcard
  • Simone Rapp 53' yellowcard
  • Ridge Munsy 58' goal
  • Chris Kablan 90' yellowcard
  • goal Mijat Maric 41'
  • yellowcard Marco Aratore 53'
  • goal Nicola Sutter 62' (OG)
  • yellowcard Olivier Custodio 84'
Swiss Super League Gameweek 15
Nov 24, 2019 3.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Justin Roth 43' yellowcard
  • Chris Kablan 60' yellowcard
  • Basil Stillhart 66' yellowcard
  • goal Marco Aratore 4'
  • goal Mattia Bottani 17'
  • yellowcard Mijat Maric 53'
  • yellowcard Noam Baumann 56'
  • yellowcard Oliver Custodio 67'
  • goal Fabio Daprela 74'
  • yellowcard Balint Vecsei 78'