Swiss Super League
Apr 25, 2026 7.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stockhorn Arena
  • Lucien Dähler 5' yellowcard
  • Michael Heule 33' yellowcard
  • Fabio Fehr 46' yellowcard
  • Mauro Lustrinelli 52' yellowcard
  • Valmir Matoshi 62' yellowcard
  • Franz-Ethan Meichtry 62' yellowcard
  • Brighton Labeau 74' yellowcard
  • Furkan Dursun 74' yellowcard
  • Marco Bürki 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Antonios Papadopoulos 36'
  • yellowcard Mohamed Belhadj Mahmoud 46'
  • yellowcard Mattia Zanotti 53'
  • yellowcard Kevin Behrens 57'
  • yellowcard Pablo Acebal 77'
  • yellowcard Mohamed Belhadj Mahmoud 81'
  • yellowcard Mattia Bottani 88'
  • yellowcard Elias Pihlström 88'
  • yellowcard Mattia Bottani 89'
  • yellowcard Elias Pihlström 89'
  • goal Pablo Acebal 90'+7'
  • yellowcard Pablo Acebal 90'+7'
  • yellowcard Pablo Acebal 90'+10'

Thun vs Lugano - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Thun

All competitions
Swiss Super League
Last game
Apr 18, 2026 7.30pm
Thun 3 - 1 Basel
Goals scored
80
Top scorer
Elmin Rastoder

Lugano

All competitions
Swiss Super League
Last game
Apr 11, 2026 5.00pm
FC Zurich 0 - 1 Lugano
Goals scored
59
Top scorer
Kevin Behrens

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Thun win with a probability of 41.11%. A win for Lugano had a probability of 34.86% and a draw had a probability of 23.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Thun win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.43%) and 2-0 (5.24%). The likeliest Lugano win was 1-2 (7.36%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result

Thun 41.11% ▼ (-1.18)
Draw 23.99% ▼ (-0.71)
Lugano 34.86% ▲ (+1.87)

Both Teams to Score: 

63.59% ▲ (+1.56)

Goals

Over 1.5 83.43% ▲ (+1.49)
Under 1.5 16.57% ▼ (-1.49)
Over 2.5 63.66% ▲ (+3.10)
Under 2.5 36.34% ▼ (-3.10)
Over 3.5 41.83% ▲ (+3.40)
Under 3.5 58.17% ▼ (-3.40)
Over 4.5 26.63% ▲ (+3.31)
Under 4.5 73.37% ▼ (-3.32)

First Half Winner

Thun 36.06% ▼ (-0.06)
Draw 39.31% ▲ (+0.47)
Lugano 24.62% ▼ (-0.42)

Team To Score First

Thun 49.81% ▲ (+0.38)
No Goal 4.28% ▼ (-0.42)
Lugano 45.91% ▲ (+0.04)

Corners

Over 8 57.52% ▼ (-4.40)
Equal 8 11.36% ▲ (+0.17)
Under 8 31.12% ▲ (+4.23)
Over 9 45.96% ▼ (-4.16)
Equal 9 11.56% ▼ (-0.23)
Under 9 42.48% ▲ (+4.40)
Over 10.5 35.17% ▼ (-3.59)
Under 10.5 64.83% ▲ (+3.59)

Thun Goals

Over 1.5 48.06% ▲ (+0.67)
Under 1.5 51.94% ▼ (-0.67)
Over 2.5 23.81% ▲ (+1.22)
Under 2.5 76.19% ▼ (-1.22)
Over 3.5 10.08% ▲ (+0.99)
Under 3.5 89.92% ▼ (-0.99)

Lugano Goals

Over 0.5 71.43% ▲ (+1.06)
Under 0.5 28.57% ▼ (-1.06)
Over 1.5 42.1% ▲ (+2.79)
Under 1.5 57.9% ▼ (-2.79)
Over 2.5 20.25% ▲ (+3.22)
Under 2.5 79.75% ▼ (-3.21)
Over 3.5 7.67% ▲ (+1.75)
Under 3.5 92.33% ▼ (-1.75)

Score analysis

Thun 41.13%
Draw 24%
Lugano 34.87%
Thun
2-1 @ 8.7% ▼ (-0.44)
1-0 @ 6.43% ▼ (-0.71)
2-0 @ 5.24% ▼ (-0.51)
3-1 @ 4.71% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.43% ▼ (-0.12)
3-0 @ 3.19% ▼ (-0.15)
Other @ 9.43% ▲ (+0.75)
Total : 41.13%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.06% ▼ (-0.97)
2-2 @ 6.61% ▼ (-0.05)
0-0 @ 4.28% ▼ (-0.42)
3-3 @ 2.4% ▲ (+0.50)
Other @ 0.65% ▲ (+0.24)
Total : 24%
Lugano
1-2 @ 7.36% ▼ (-0.11)
0-1 @ 5.86% ▼ (-0.34)
0-2 @ 4.45% ▼ (-0.15)
1-3 @ 3.89% ▲ (+0.14)
2-3 @ 3.7% ▲ (+0.44)
0-3 @ 2.59% ▲ (+0.40)
Other @ 7.02% ▲ (+1.52)
Total : 34.87%

Head to Head

Swiss Super League Gameweek 32
Apr 4, 2026 5.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio di Cornaredo
  • Antonios Papadopoulos 42' yellowcard
  • Yanis Cimignani 56' yellowcard
  • 56' yellowcard
  • Daniel Dos Santos 59' goal
  • Martim Marques 71' yellowcard
  • Pablo Acebal 84' yellowcard
  • Mattia Bottani 84' yellowcard
  • Mohamed Belhadj Mahmoud 84' yellowcard
  • Elias Pihlström 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Genís Montolio 5'
  • yellowcard Michael Heule 64'
  • yellowcard Furkan Dursun 67'
  • yellowcard Nils Reichmuth 67'
  • yellowcard Valmir Matoshi 67'
  • yellowcard Justin Roth 79'
  • yellowcard Marc Gutbub 86'
  • yellowcard Niklas Steffen 90'+3'
Swiss Super League
Nov 22, 2025 7.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stockhorn Arena
  • Justin Roth 19' yellowcard
  • Marco Bürki 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Hicham Mahou 22'
  • yellowcard Mohamed Belhadj Mahmoud 66'
  • redcard Uran Bislimi 74'
  • goal Claudio Cassano 86'
  • yellowcard Amir Saipi 90'+4'
Swiss Super League Gameweek 1
Jul 27, 2025 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio di Cornaredo
  • Ousmane Doumbia 16' goal
  • Ayman El Wafi 37' yellowcard
  • Zachary Brault-Guillard 62' yellowcard
  • goal Leonardo Bertone 63'
  • goal Leonardo Bertone 85'
  • yellowcard Niklas Steffen 90'+5'
Swiss Super League Gameweek 31
Jul 15, 2020 7.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Cornaredo
  • Jonathan Sabbatini 87' yellowcard
  • Stefano Guidotti 89' goal
  • goal Nias Hefti 55'
  • yellowcard Chris Kablan 74'
  • yellowcard Basil Stillhart 82'
Swiss Super League Gameweek 21
Feb 9, 2020 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 2 1
FT Stockhorn Arena
  • Chris Kablan 17' goal
  • Basil Stillhart 21' goal
  • Ridge Munsy 49' yellowcard
  • Simone Rapp 53' yellowcard
  • Ridge Munsy 58' goal
  • Chris Kablan 90' yellowcard
  • goal Mijat Maric 41'
  • yellowcard Marco Aratore 53'
  • goal Nicola Sutter 62' (OG)
  • yellowcard Olivier Custodio 84'
Swiss Super League Gameweek 15
Nov 24, 2019 3.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Justin Roth 43' yellowcard
  • Chris Kablan 60' yellowcard
  • Basil Stillhart 66' yellowcard
  • goal Marco Aratore 4'
  • goal Mattia Bottani 17'
  • yellowcard Mijat Maric 53'
  • yellowcard Noam Baumann 56'
  • yellowcard Oliver Custodio 67'
  • goal Fabio Daprela 74'
  • yellowcard Balint Vecsei 78'