Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Thun win with a probability of 59.92%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for FC Zurich had a probability of 19.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Thun win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.4%) and 0-1 (7.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.82%) , while for a FC Zurich win it was 2-1 (5.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.