Swiss Super League Gameweek 32
Apr 4, 2026 5.00pm
Stadio di Cornaredo

Lugano vs Thun - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Lugano

All competitions
Swiss Super League
Last game
Mar 22, 2026 3.30pm
Young Boys 1 - 1 Lugano
Goals scored
47
Top scorer
Kevin Behrens

Thun

All competitions
Swiss Super League
Last game
Mar 21, 2026 5.00pm
FC Zurich 2 - 1 Thun
Goals scored
72
Top scorer
Elmin Rastoder

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Thun win with a probability of 49.48%. A win for Lugano has a probability of 28.31% and a draw has a probability of 22.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Thun win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (6.58%) and 0-2 (6.19%). The likeliest Lugano win is 2-1 (6.7%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.22%).

Result

Lugano 28.31% (-0.27)
Draw 22.21% (+0.08)
Thun 49.48% (+0.20)

Both Teams to Score: 

63.96% (-0.34)

Goals

Over 1.5 85.16% (-0.19)
Under 1.5 14.84% (+0.18)
Over 2.5 66.53% (-0.41)
Under 2.5 33.47% (+0.40)
Over 3.5 44.45% (-0.53)
Under 3.5 55.55% (+0.53)
Over 4.5 28.85% (-0.50)
Under 4.5 71.15% (+0.50)

First Half Winner

Lugano 27.87%
Draw 38.84%
Thun 33.28%

Team To Score First

Lugano 41.47% (-0.03)
No Goal 3.69% (+0.07)
Thun 54.84% (-0.04)

Corners

Over 8 51%
Equal 8 11.36%
Under 8 37.63%
Over 9 40%
Equal 9 11%
Under 9 49%
Over 10.5 30.18%
Under 10.5 69.82%

Lugano Goals

Over 1.5 37.28% (-0.43)
Under 1.5 62.72% (+0.43)
Over 2.5 16.51% (-0.42)
Under 2.5 83.49% (+0.43)
Over 3.5 6.24% (-0.26)
Under 3.5 93.76% (+0.27)

Thun Goals

Over 0.5 81.04% (+0.16)
Under 0.5 18.96% (-0.15)
Over 1.5 55.29% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 44.71% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 30.07% (-0.13)
Under 2.5 69.93% (+0.14)
Over 3.5 13.71% (-0.12)
Under 3.5 86.29% (+0.13)

Score analysis

Lugano 28.31%
Draw 22.22%
Thun 49.48%
Lugano
2-1 @ 6.7% (+0.03)
1-0 @ 4.58% (+0.05)
3-1 @ 3.25% (-0.05)
2-0 @ 3.22% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 3.08% (-0.07)
3-0 @ 1.8% (-0.02)
Other @ 5.68% (-0.25)
Total : 28.31%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.22% (+0.11)
2-2 @ 6.61% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 3.69% (+0.07)
3-3 @ 2.14% (-0.05)
Other @ 0.56% (-0.02)
Total : 22.22%
Thun
1-2 @ 9.34% (+0.09)
0-1 @ 6.58% (+0.09)
0-2 @ 6.19% (+0.11)
1-3 @ 5.74% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 4.24% (+0.05)
2-3 @ 4.24% (-0.03)
Other @ 13.15% (-0.10)
Total : 49.48%

Head to Head

Swiss Super League
Nov 22, 2025 7.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Swiss Super League Gameweek 1
Jul 27, 2025 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Swiss Super League Gameweek 31
Jul 15, 2020 7.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Cornaredo
  • Jonathan Sabbatini 87' yellowcard
  • Stefano Guidotti 89' goal
  • goal Nias Hefti 55'
  • yellowcard Chris Kablan 74'
  • yellowcard Basil Stillhart 82'
Swiss Super League Gameweek 21
Feb 9, 2020 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 2 1
FT Stockhorn Arena
  • Chris Kablan 17' goal
  • Basil Stillhart 21' goal
  • Ridge Munsy 49' yellowcard
  • Simone Rapp 53' yellowcard
  • Ridge Munsy 58' goal
  • Chris Kablan 90' yellowcard
  • goal Mijat Maric 41'
  • yellowcard Marco Aratore 53'
  • goal Nicola Sutter 62' (OG)
  • yellowcard Olivier Custodio 84'
Swiss Super League Gameweek 15
Nov 24, 2019 3.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Justin Roth 43' yellowcard
  • Chris Kablan 60' yellowcard
  • Basil Stillhart 66' yellowcard
  • goal Marco Aratore 4'
  • goal Mattia Bottani 17'
  • yellowcard Mijat Maric 53'
  • yellowcard Noam Baumann 56'
  • yellowcard Oliver Custodio 67'
  • goal Fabio Daprela 74'
  • yellowcard Balint Vecsei 78'
Swiss Super League
Jul 28, 2019 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Numa Lavanchy 13' yellowcard
  • Fabio Daprela 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Simone Rapp 52'
  • yellowcard Kevin Bigler 60'
  • yellowcard Basil Stillhart 77'