Swiss Super League
Apr 4, 2026 5.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio di Cornaredo
  • Daniel Dos Santos 59' goal
  • Martim Marques 71' yellowcard
  • Pablo Acebal 84' yellowcard
  • Mattia Bottani 84' yellowcard
  • Mohamed Belhadj Mahmoud 84' yellowcard
  • Elias Pihlström 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Furkan Dursun 67'
  • yellowcard Nils Reichmuth 67'
  • yellowcard Valmir Matoshi 67'
  • yellowcard Justin Roth 79'
  • yellowcard Marc Gutbub 86'

Lugano vs Thun - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Lugano

All competitions
Swiss Super League
Last game
Mar 22, 2026 3.30pm
Young Boys 1 - 1 Lugano
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Kevin Behrens

Thun

All competitions
Swiss Super League
Last game
Mar 21, 2026 5.00pm
FC Zurich 2 - 1 Thun
Goals scored
75
Top scorer
Elmin Rastoder

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Thun win with a probability of 48.86%. A win for Lugano had a probability of 29.11% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Thun win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.44%) and 0-2 (5.89%). The likeliest Lugano win was 2-1 (6.94%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.

Result

Lugano 29.11%
Draw 22%
Thun 48.86% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

64.33% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 85.26% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 14.74% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 66.83% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 33.17% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 44.45% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 55.55% (+0.03)
Over 4.5 28.62% (-0.03)
Under 4.5 71.38% (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Lugano 26.72%
Draw 39.37%
Thun 33.91%

Team To Score First

Lugano 40.5%
No Goal 3.55%
Thun 55.95%

Corners

Over 8 52.88%
Equal 8 11.52%
Under 8 35.6%
Over 9 41.58%
Equal 9 11.29%
Under 9 47.12%
Over 10.5 31.38%
Under 10.5 68.62%

Lugano Goals

Over 1.5 37.96% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 62.04% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 16.71% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 83.29% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 6.18%
Under 3.5 93.82%

Thun Goals

Over 0.5 80.83% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 19.17% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 54.92% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 45.08% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 29.64% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 70.36% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 13.22% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 86.78% (+0.04)

Score analysis

Lugano 29.11%
Draw 21.99%
Thun 48.86%
Lugano
2-1 @ 6.94%
1-0 @ 4.71%
2-0 @ 3.37%
3-1 @ 3.36% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.23%
3-0 @ 1.78%
Other @ 5.72%
Total : 29.11%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.17%
2-2 @ 6.65%
0-0 @ 3.55%
3-3 @ 2.16%
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 21.99%
Thun
1-2 @ 9.51%
0-1 @ 6.44%
0-2 @ 5.89% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 5.81%
2-3 @ 4.29%
0-3 @ 4.16%
Other @ 12.76% (-0.03)
Total : 48.86%

Head to Head

Swiss Super League
Nov 22, 2025 7.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Swiss Super League Gameweek 1
Jul 27, 2025 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Swiss Super League Gameweek 31
Jul 15, 2020 7.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Cornaredo
  • Jonathan Sabbatini 87' yellowcard
  • Stefano Guidotti 89' goal
  • goal Nias Hefti 55'
  • yellowcard Chris Kablan 74'
  • yellowcard Basil Stillhart 82'
Swiss Super League Gameweek 21
Feb 9, 2020 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 2 1
FT Stockhorn Arena
  • Chris Kablan 17' goal
  • Basil Stillhart 21' goal
  • Ridge Munsy 49' yellowcard
  • Simone Rapp 53' yellowcard
  • Ridge Munsy 58' goal
  • Chris Kablan 90' yellowcard
  • goal Mijat Maric 41'
  • yellowcard Marco Aratore 53'
  • goal Nicola Sutter 62' (OG)
  • yellowcard Olivier Custodio 84'
Swiss Super League Gameweek 15
Nov 24, 2019 3.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Justin Roth 43' yellowcard
  • Chris Kablan 60' yellowcard
  • Basil Stillhart 66' yellowcard
  • goal Marco Aratore 4'
  • goal Mattia Bottani 17'
  • yellowcard Mijat Maric 53'
  • yellowcard Noam Baumann 56'
  • yellowcard Oliver Custodio 67'
  • goal Fabio Daprela 74'
  • yellowcard Balint Vecsei 78'
Swiss Super League
Jul 28, 2019 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Numa Lavanchy 13' yellowcard
  • Fabio Daprela 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Simone Rapp 52'
  • yellowcard Kevin Bigler 60'
  • yellowcard Basil Stillhart 77'