Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 41.5%. A win for Rapperswil-Jona had a probability of 34.86% and a draw had a probability of 23.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.33%) and 0-2 (5.76%). The likeliest Rapperswil-Jona win was 2-1 (8.12%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.