Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rapperswil-Jona win with a probability of 49.27%. A win for Freienbach had a probability of 27.97% and a draw had a probability of 22.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rapperswil-Jona win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.17%) and 0-2 (6.64%). The likeliest Freienbach win was 2-1 (7.13%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.