Coppa Italia
Aug 14, 2026 5.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
LIVE Sardegna Arena
  • Alessandro Deiola  23' goal
  • yellowcard Samuele Righetti 16'

Cagliari vs Arezzo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Cagliari

All competitions

Arezzo

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 41.32%. A win for Arezzo had a probability of 30.48% and a draw had a probability of 28.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.41%) and 2-0 (6.92%). The likeliest Arezzo win was 0-1 (9.69%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.

Result

Cagliari 41.32% ▼ (-0.08)
Draw 28.15% ▼ (-0.02)
Arezzo 30.48% ▲ (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.25% ▼ (-0.07)

Goals

Over 1.5 69.89% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 1.5 30.11% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 45.34% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 2.5 54.66% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 3.5 24.69% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 75.31% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 4.5 13.73% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 4.5 86.27% ▲ (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Cagliari 28.61% ▼ (-0.16)
Draw 47.64% ▲ (+0.04)
Arezzo 23.76% ▲ (+0.14)

Team To Score First

Cagliari 51.3% ▼ (-0.08)
No Goal 9.58% ▲ (+0.01)
Arezzo 39.12% ▲ (+0.06)

Corners

Over 8 49.36% ▲ (+0.22)
Equal 8 11.62%
Under 8 39.02% ▼ (-0.22)
Over 9 38.27% ▲ (+0.20)
Equal 9 11.09% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 9 50.64% ▼ (-0.22)
Over 10.5 28.52% ▲ (+0.17)
Under 10.5 71.48% ▼ (-0.18)

Cagliari Goals

Over 1.5 37.65% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 1.5 62.35% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 2.5 16.3% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 83.7% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 3.5 5.03% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 94.97% ▲ (+0.02)

Arezzo Goals

Over 0.5 64.27% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 0.5 35.73% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 1.5 29.19% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 70.81% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 10.34% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 89.66% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 3.5 3.84% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 96.16% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Cagliari 41.33%
Draw 28.16%
Arezzo 30.48%
Cagliari
1-0 @ 10.81% ▼ (-0.01)
2-1 @ 8.41% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 6.92% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 4.08%
3-0 @ 3.57% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.72% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 4.82% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 41.33%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.9% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 9.58% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.57%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 28.16%
Arezzo
0-1 @ 9.69%
1-2 @ 6.83% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.73% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.31%
0-3 @ 1.84% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.45%
Other @ 3.63% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 30.48%